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Record W4328094544 · doi:10.54691/bcpbm.v38i.3672

Long-term Changes in Ethereum Prices: A Normalized Pandemic Framework

2023· article· en· W4328094544 on OpenAlex
Haiye Huang

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueBCP Business & Management · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldComputer Science
TopicBlockchain Technology Applications and Security
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsCryptocurrencyCoronavirus disease 2019 (COVID-19)Volatility (finance)PandemicEconometricsRate of returnVector autoregressionEconomicsFinancial economicsMonetary economicsComputer scienceComputer securityMedicineFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

As the pandemic, Covid-19, spreading across the world from 2020, it changes the habits of people. It helped the development of the online movement. Cryptocurrency investment was one of them. Ethereum is one of the most significant blockchain-based platforms and the second largest proportion of the cryptocurrency market. The price of Ethereum was examined from the last 3 years. The result shows that the price of Ethereum increases drastically at the beginning of the pandemic due to different influences of Covid-19. However, it is decreasing as Covid-19 has become a normal illness to handle recently. In summary, Ethereum is in a strong correlation with Covid-19 and still can fluctuate by illness or movement that increases the interaction of people on the internet. In this paper, vector autoregression model and ARMA-GARCHX model was constructed where VAR model helped to find the relationship between the new infections of COVID-19 in China and Overseas and the return rate of Ethereum and ARMA-GARCHX model was applied to analyze the volatility of the return and predict the future return rate. The models suggest that the return rate can be affected if the number of new infections increases in a short period. However, the number of new infections is not significant to the volatility of the return rate of Ethereum.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.948
Threshold uncertainty score0.624

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.003
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.022
GPT teacher head0.275
Teacher spread0.253 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it