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Record W4328135576 · doi:10.54691/bcpbm.v38i.4248

Spillover Effects of China-US Trade War on Southeast Asian

2023· article· en· W4328135576 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueBCP Business & Management · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicGlobal Trade and Competitiveness
Canadian institutionsQueen's University
Fundersnot available
KeywordsChinaTrade warInternational tradeSpillover effectTariffEconomicsSanctionsCommodityOrder (exchange)Bilateral tradeInternational economicsDevelopment economicsPolitical scienceMarket economy

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A trade war between China and us has started in 2018. China has been considered a threat by American politicians they are trying to use a trade war as a tool to contain China’s high-speed development. However, China will not allow the US to be seized without putting up a fight. With the advance of the trade war, China and the US have had several rounds of confrontation by raising tariffs. It’s hard to really say which side won the overall victory, nevertheless, the trade war between China and the US has diffused the whole world economic environment. In order to avoid the raised tariffs from the competitor, China, and the US transfer the import resources to the country that has lower tariffs on the same goods. The third-party country would attend the trade war by gaining the spillover effect of the trade war. Southeast Asia has eleven countries, such as Thailand, Cambodia, Vietnam, the Philippines, Malaysia, Singapore, Indonesia, and Timor Leste. Most of them have China or the US as their biggest trading partner. When China raises tariffs on a certain commodity to the United States, which may find the third country in order to replace China to evade tariff sanctions. The Countries in the Southeast become the optimal choice for the US. They also have low labor costs, close transportation routes, and many employment vacancies. Therefore, Southeast Asia has become one region in the world that has a spillover effect of the China-US trade war.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow), Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.884
Threshold uncertainty score1.000

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0010.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.008
GPT teacher head0.199
Teacher spread0.191 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it