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Record W4361204297 · doi:10.5539/ibr.v16n4p1

A Comparison of Information Criterion for Choosing Copula Models

2023· article· en· W4361204297 on OpenAlexvenueno aff
Sonia Benito Muela, Carmen López-Martín

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Business Research · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicFinancial Risk and Volatility Modeling
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersUniversidad Nacional de Educación a DistanciaMinisterio de Ciencia e Innovación
KeywordsCopula (linguistics)Sample size determinationStatisticsMathematicsEconometricsGumbel distribution

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The object of this paper is to analyse the ability of the Information Criterion in selecting the best copula model. For this study, we carry out a simulation exercise considering five one-parameter copula families: Normal, Student-t with ν degree freedom, Clayton, Gumbel and Frank. For each family copulas, three degrees of dependence and three size samples. The Information Criterion included in the comparison are AIC, BIC, HQIC, SIC. The results obtained are as follow; (i) we find that for a high dependence level (0.9) the reliability of the Information Criterion (IC) is quite good, but it reduces with the dependence level; (ii) the performance of the IC not only depends on the dependence degree but the size sample. In the case of considering negative dependence the reliability of the IC does not depend on the dependence degree but the size sample. As the size sample reduce the performed of the IC reduce. To last, in a comparison among the IC considered, we find that the BIC criterion is the most reliable follow by SIC. AIC and HQIC reaps similar results.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.698
Threshold uncertainty score0.292

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.311
GPT teacher head0.438
Teacher spread0.127 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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