Measurable Residual Disease and Fusion Partner Independently Predict Survival and Relapse Risk in Childhood <i>KMT2A</i>-Rearranged Acute Myeloid Leukemia: A Study by the International Berlin-Frankfurt-Münster Study Group
Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE A previous study by the International Berlin-Frankfurt-Münster Study Group (I-BFM-SG) on childhood KMT2A-rearranged ( KMT2A-r) AML demonstrated the prognostic value of the fusion partner. This I-BFM-SG study investigated the value of flow cytometry-based measurable residual disease (flow-MRD) and evaluated the benefit of allogeneic stem-cell transplantation (allo-SCT) in first complete remission (CR1) in this disease. METHODS A total of 1,130 children with KMT2A-r AML, diagnosed between January 2005 and December 2016, were assigned to high-risk (n = 402; 35.6%) or non–high-risk (n = 728; 64.4%) fusion partner-based groups. Flow-MRD levels at both end of induction 1 (EOI1) and 2 (EOI2) were available for 456 patients and were considered negative (<0.1%) or positive (≥0.1%). End points were 5-year event-free survival (EFS), cumulative incidence of relapse (CIR), and overall survival (OS). RESULTS The high-risk group had inferior EFS (30.3% high risk v 54.0% non-high risk; P < .0001), CIR (59.7% v 35.2%; P < .0001), and OS (49.2% v 70.5%; P < .0001). EOI2 MRD negativity was associated with superior EFS (n = 413; 47.6% MRD negativity v n = 43; 16.3% MRD positivity; P < .0001) and OS (n = 413; 66.0% v n = 43; 27.9%; P < .0001), and showed a trend toward lower CIR (n = 392; 46.1% v n = 26; 65.4%; P = .016). Similar results were obtained for patients with EOI2 MRD negativity within both risk groups, except that within the non–high-risk group, CIR was comparable with that of patients with EOI2 MRD positivity. Allo-SCT in CR1 only reduced CIR (hazard ratio, 0.5 [95% CI, 0.4 to 0.8]; P = .00096) within the high-risk group but did not improve OS. In multivariable analyses, EOI2 MRD positivity and high-risk group were independently associated with inferior EFS, CIR, and OS. CONCLUSION EOI2 flow-MRD is an independent prognostic factor and should be included as risk stratification factor in childhood KMT2A-r AML. Treatment approaches other than allo-SCT in CR1 are needed to improve prognosis.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.019 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".