Targeted plasma metabolomics combined with machine learning for the diagnosis of severe acute respiratory syndrome virus type 2
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction: The routine clinical diagnosis of severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS-CoV-2) is largely restricted to real-time reverse transcription quantitative PCR (RT-qPCR), and tests that detect SARS-CoV-2 nucleocapsid antigen. Given the diagnostic delay and suboptimal sensitivity associated with these respective methods, alternative diagnostic strategies are needed for acute infection. Methods: We studied the use of a clinically validated liquid chromatography triple quadrupole method (LC/MS-MS) for detection of amino acids from plasma specimens. We applied machine learning models to distinguish between SARS-CoV-2-positive and negative samples and analyzed amino acid feature importance. Results: A total of 200 samples were tested, including 70 from individuals with COVID-19, and 130 from negative controls. The top performing model overall allowed discrimination between SARS-CoV-2-positive and negative control samples with an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) of 0.96 (95%CI 0.91, 1.00), overall sensitivity of 0.99 (95%CI 0.92, 1.00), and specificity of 0.92 (95%CI 0.85, 0.95). Discussion: This approach holds potential as an alternative to existing methods for the rapid and accurate diagnosis of acute SARS-CoV-2 infection.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".