Preventable harm in the Canadian organ donation and transplantation system: a descriptive study of missed organ donor identification and referral
Bibliographic record
Abstract
PURPOSE: Deceased organ donation is predicated on timely identification and referral (IDR) of potential organ donors. Many Canadian provinces have legislated mandatory referral of potential deceased donors. Untimely or missed IDRs are safety events where best or expected practice has not occurred causing preventable harm to patients and denying families the opportunity of donation at end of life (EOL) as well as denying transplant waitlist patients access to lifesaving organs. METHODS: We requested donor definitions and data to calculate IDR, consent, and approach rates from all Canadian organ donation organizations (ODOs) for 2016-2018. We then estimated the number of missed IDR patients who were eligible for approach (safety events) and the associated preventable harm to patients at EOL and on transplant waitlists. RESULTS: Annually, there were 63-76 missed IDR patients eligible for approach (3.6-4.5 per million population [PMP]) from four ODOs-three with mandatory referral legislation. Applying each ODO's approach and consent rates for the corresponding year, there were 37-41 missed donors (2.4 donor PMP) annually. Assuming three transplants per donor, the theoretical number of missed transplants would be 111-123 (6.4-7.3 transplants PMP) annually. CONCLUSIONS: Data from four Canadian ODOs show that missed IDR safety events resulted in important preventable harm measured by a lost opportunity for donation of 2.4 donors PMP annually and 354 potentially missed transplants between 2016 and 2018. Given that 223 patients died on Canada's waitlist in 2018, national donor audits and quality improvement initiatives to optimize IDR are essential to reduce preventable harm to these vulnerable populations.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.003 | 0.008 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".