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Response of the current climate to land-ocean contrasts in parameterized cumulus entrainment

2023· preprint· en· W4362575965 on OpenAlexafffund
Meera Mohan, Timothy M. Merlis, Daniel J. Kirshbaum

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEnvironmental Science
TopicClimate variability and models
Canadian institutionsMcGill University
FundersBiological and Environmental ResearchOffice of ScienceAlliance de recherche numérique du CanadaCompute CanadaMcGill UniversityU.S. Department of Energy
KeywordsEntrainment (biomusicology)Environmental scienceConvectionClimatologyPrecipitationAtmospheric sciencesOcean currentClimate modelDiabaticGeologyClimate changeOceanographyMeteorologyGeography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Cumulus entrainment substantially regulates the earth’s climate but remains poorly constrained in global climate models. Recent studies have shown that cumulus bulk entrainment (or dilution) is particularly sensitive to continentality, with the entrainment rate in simulated maritime cumuli nearly double that of continental cumuli. The present study examines the impacts of such land–ocean entrainment contrasts on the current climate using 21-year simulations with the Geophysical Fluid Dynamics Laboratory’s (GFDL) High-Resolution Atmospheric Model (HIRAM). In response to a 25% reduction in entrainment over land, precipitation over tropical land regions increases by up to 40%. Along with directly facilitating enhanced convective precipitation, this entrainment reduction induces a positive soil moisture–precipitation feedback that further enhances convective precipitation over land. A 25% entrainment reduction over the oceans leads to more widespread modifications of convection patterns, with the strongest signal in the tropical Pacific. Deep convection shifts upstream (eastward) there, inducing enhanced large-scale ascent over the central Pacific with compensating subsidence and reduced humidity and precipitation over the western Pacific. Land–ocean variations in entrainment project onto the Pacific Walker circulation, with the 25% land reduction strengthening it by 4% and the 25% ocean reduction weakening it by 14%. These changes are driven by variations in convective and large-scale stratiform heating over the Pacific. While reduced entrainment over land enhances diabatic heating in the Maritime Continent to strengthen the Walker circulation, reduced entrainment over the oceans decreases diabatic heating in the western Pacific to weaken the Walker circulation.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.002
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.017
Threshold uncertainty score0.034

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.002
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.045
GPT teacher head0.301
Teacher spread0.256 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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