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Record W4362670099 · doi:10.54097/hbem.v5i.5102

Predict Stock Price of Tesla Based on Machine Learning

2023· article· en· W4362670099 on OpenAlexaff
Luren Dai

Bibliographic record

VenueHighlights in Business Economics and Management · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldDecision Sciences
TopicStock Market Forecasting Methods
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsDecision treeRandom forestComputer scienceStock marketSupport vector machineStock (firearms)EconometricsArtificial intelligenceMachine learningTime seriesTechnical analysisOperations researchEconomicsFinancial economicsEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

With the vigorous promotion of new energy, electric vehicles have become a popular travel choice. As the most popular brand at present, Tesla has a huge market share and its technology and patents can guarantee the advantages of future development. At the same time, Elon Musk is a very ambitious and powerful entrepreneur who can lead a technology company to a better future. The stock of Tesla is also favored by many investment institutions because it brings together new energy, automobile, artificial intelligence, and other high-tech industries. This report will mainly use machine learning methods to predict the trend of stock prices (closing prices). Time series and the k-nearest Neighbors algorithm are the main methods used to predict and compare the accuracy to analyze which model is more suitable. In order to train the model, all the data of stock are divided into a training set and a test set. At the same time, Linear Regression, Random Forest, Support Vector Regression, and Decision Tree are also used as a reference for the analysis.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.004
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.320
Threshold uncertainty score0.544

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0040.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.066
GPT teacher head0.319
Teacher spread0.252 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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