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Record W4362674139 · doi:10.5089/9798400238673.002

Peru

2023· article· en· W4362674139 on OpenAlexaboutno aff

Bibliographic record

VenueIMF Staff Country Reports · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicBusiness, Innovation, and Economy
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPoliticsEconomic recoveryStimulus (psychology)Political scienceEconomic policyDevelopment economicsPolitical economyQuarter (Canadian coin)EconomicsGeographyMacroeconomicsPsychology

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This 2023 Article IV Consultation highlights that against the background of a strong economic performance over the last quarter of a century, Peru has been hit by multiple shocks in the last several years. Adequate policies and very strong policy frameworks have made the economy resilient. Growth is expected to slow to 2.4 percent in 2023 and converge to its potential of 3 percent over the medium term. Inflation is expected to decline gradually into the target range by end-2023-early 2024. Risks to the outlook are tilted to the downside, with key risks including escalation of Russia’s war in Ukraine, an abrupt global slowdown and commodity price volatility, monetary policy miscalibration by major central banks with a possible de-anchoring of inflation expectations and systemic financial instability, an intensification of political uncertainties at home, social unrest over political developments, and natural disasters. Financial sector policies should continue to maintain a tightening bias to cement financial stability in a deteriorating financial environment. The Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development accession process should be used to define a well-articulated structural reform agenda to deal with the scarring effects of the coronavirus disease 2019 pandemic and support green and inclusive growth.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: Not applicable
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.359
Threshold uncertainty score0.000

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0020.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0010.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.3590.127

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.029
GPT teacher head0.221
Teacher spread0.192 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designNot applicable
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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