Lapsed Leadership: U.S. International Environmental Policy Since Rio
Bibliographic record
Abstract
As in other areas, the leadership of the United States is essential in global environmental affairs. This chapter asks why the US government has failed to provide international environmental policy leadership in two critical areas: biodiversity protection and climate change. President Bush’s refusal to undertake firm international commitments on climate change and biodiversity drew intense criticism from US environmental activists and Democratic leaders in Congress, including Senator Gore. US performance also fell far short of the original Clinton administration promise in climate change policy. The US failure to lead on climate change policy has multiple causes: domestic opposition from labor and industry, weak science, and unsolved international cooperation problems. Comparisons to the Montreal Protocol example are instructive. For all the reasons that strong leadership on stratospheric ozone was possible between 1986 and 1991, so far it has been impossible on climate change.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.006 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.020 | 0.004 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".