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Record W4366228251 · doi:10.24815/ekapi.v9i2.31433

ANALISIS VALOTILITAS KONSUMSI DI INDONESIA: PENDEKATAN MODEL GARCH

2022· article· en· W4366228251 on OpenAlex
Azka Rizkina, Nova Nova, Hakim Muttaqim, Sri Wahyuni

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

aboutThe title or abstract carries a Canadian signal from the geographic lexicon.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueJurnal Ekonomi dan Kebijakan Publik Indonesia · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomic Growth and Fiscal Policies
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomicsVolatility (finance)Autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticityMonetary economicsConsumption (sociology)EconometricsQuarter (Canadian coin)Inflation (cosmology)Macroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

This study aims to analyze the volatility of consumption in Indonesia. The data used in this study is in the form of quarterly data starting from the first quarter of 2000 to the fourth quarter of 2021 (n=88). Data analysis model using GARCH. The results of this study indicate that consumption volatility occurs due to changes in income and inflation. Income and inflation that occur in Indonesia also affect the volatility of consumption levels in society. The implication of this research is to anticipate consumption volatility, it is hoped that the government can control and monitor the stability of the inflation rate with an inflation targeting framework or the government trying to reduce spending, change tax rates or make loans.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesMeta-epidemiology (narrow)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.179
Threshold uncertainty score0.999

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0010.001
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0020.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.037
GPT teacher head0.226
Teacher spread0.189 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it