A new model developed by multigene genetic programming for the temporal evolution of bridge pier scour
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Forecasting the time development of scour depth at bridge pier foundations is of great significance to mitigate or avoid the potential failure of bridges. Presently, several models have been developed to predict the scour depth at the base of bridge piers in the case of flood events. This study summarizes existing models for the temporal evolution of bridge pier scour and divides these studies into semiempirical models and empirical models, as well as artificial intelligence models. Several experimental data sets collected from previous studies, 665 points in total, are used to develop a new multigene genetic programming (MGGP) model for temporal scour depth at a circular bridge pier. In addition, independent data, 899 points in total, from previous studies and new physical modeling tests are applied to evaluate the behaviours of existing models, as well as the newly developed MGGP model. It is shown that the MGGP model has good prediction capability when compared with existing empirical and mathematical models.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".