A Fecal-Microbial-Extracellular-Vesicles-Based Metabolomics Machine Learning Framework and Biomarker Discovery for Predicting Colorectal Cancer Patients
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Colorectal cancer (CRC) is one of the most common and lethal diseases among all types of cancer, and metabolites play a significant role in the development of this complex disease. This study aimed to identify potential biomarkers and targets in the diagnosis and treatment of CRC using high-throughput metabolomics. Metabolite data extracted from the feces of CRC patients and healthy volunteers were normalized with the median normalization and Pareto scale for multivariate analysis. Univariate ROC analysis, the t-test, and analysis of fold changes (FCs) were applied to identify biomarker candidate metabolites in CRC patients. Only metabolites that overlapped the two different statistical approaches (false-discovery-rate-corrected p-value < 0.05 and AUC > 0.70) were considered in the further analysis. Multivariate analysis was performed with biomarker candidate metabolites based on linear support vector machines (SVM), partial least squares discrimination analysis (PLS-DA), and random forests (RF). The model identified five biomarker candidate metabolites that were significantly and differently expressed (adjusted p-value < 0.05) in CRC patients compared to healthy controls. The metabolites were succinic acid, aminoisobutyric acid, butyric acid, isoleucine, and leucine. Aminoisobutyric acid was the metabolite with the highest discriminatory potential in CRC, with an AUC equal to 0.806 (95% CI = 0.700–0.897), and was down-regulated in CRC patients. The SVM model showed the most substantial discrimination capacity for the five metabolites selected in the CRC screening, with an AUC of 0.985 (95% CI: 0.94–1).
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".