Global dynamics of a dengue fever model incorporating transmission seasonality
Why this work is in the frame
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The changes of seasons cause that the transmission of dengue fever is characterized by periodicity. We develop a dengue fever transmission model incorporating seasonal periodicity and spatial heterogeneity. Based on the well-posedness of solution for this model, we propose its basic reproduction number R0, and we discuss the properties of this number including its limiting form when the diffusion coefficients change. Moreover, the dynamical behavior of this model infers that if R0 ⩽ 1, then the disease-free periodic solution is globally asymptotically stable, and if R0 > 1, then the model possesses a positive periodic solution, which is globally asymptotically stable. These theoretical findings are further illustrated by the final numerical simulations. Additionally, we add that the similar problem has been investigated by M. Zhu and Y. Xu [A time-periodic dengue fever model in a heterogeneous environment, Math. Comput. Simul., 155:115–129, 2019] in which some dynamical results have been studied only on the cases R0 < 1 and R0 > 1. Our results not only include the scenario on the case R0 = 1, but also involve the more succinct conditions on the cases R0 < 1 and R0 > 1.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it