A decision support system for classifying supplier selection criteria using machine learning and random forest approach
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Supplier selection is an important process in supply chain management that sets a foundation for a long-term partnership with suppliers that can greatly contribute to the success or failure of a business. This study aims to identify, validate and propose a comprehensive list of supplier selection criteria applicable to most organizations. The proposed integrated framework comprises four widely used supervised machine learning (ML) models of Random Forest (RF) classifier and RF-based feature selection algorithm to identify a comprehensive list of critical criteria and their performance measures. We present a case study and show the RF classifier’s performance increased by 3.89% in accuracy and 5.17% in f-score after removing non-critical criteria. Nine criteria are identified as critical among 30 potential criteria considered for supplier selection. Quality, On-Time Delivery, Material Price, and Information sharing are the topmost critical criteria. Another key finding of this study is that transportation cost is a crucial criterion that has received little attention in prior studies. Managers can use this framework to focus on specific criteria when selecting suppliers rather than considering less important criteria or prioritizing the criteria and the suppliers according to their requirements. Many supplier selection studies are reported in the literature, but few studies have utilized machine learning to improve efficacy and effectiveness in supplier evaluation and selection.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.004 | 0.009 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.005 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".