Towards an improved understanding of wildfire CO emissions: a satellite remote-sensing perspective
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract. Emissions from wildfires are a significant source of air pollution, which can adversely impact air quality and ecosystems thousands of kilometers downwind. These emissions can be estimated by a bottom-up approach, using inputs such fuel type, burned area, and standardized emission factors. Emissions are also commonly derived with a top-down approach, using satellite observed fire radiative power (FRP) as proxy for fuel consumption. More recently, wildfire emissions have been demonstrated to be estimated directly from satellite observations, including carbon monoxide (CO). Here, we explore the potential of satellite-derived CO emission rates from wildfires and provide new insights into the understanding of satellite-derived fire CO emissions globally, with respect to differences in regions and vegetation type. Specifically, we use the TROPOMI (Tropospheric Monitoring Instrument) high spatial-resolution satellite datasets to create a global inventory database of burning emissions CO emissions between 2019 and 2021. Our retrieval methodology includes an analysis of conditions under which emission estimates may be inaccurate and filters these accordingly. Additionally, we determine biome specific emission coefficients (emissions relative to FRP) and show how combining the satellite derived CO emissions with satellite observed FRP from the Moderate Resolution Imaging Spectrometer (MODIS) establishes an annual CO emission budget from wildfires. The resulting emissions totals are compared to other top-down and bottom-up emission inventories over the past two decades. In general, the satellite-derived emissions inventory values and bottom-up emissions inventories have similar CO emissions totals across different global regions, though the discrepancies may be large for some regions (Southern Hemisphere South America, Southern Hemisphere Africa, Southeast Asia) and for some bottom-up inventories (e.g. FINN2.5, where CO emissions are a factor of 2 to 5 higher than other inventories). Overall, these estimates can help to validate emission inventories and predictive air quality models, and help to identify limitations present in existing bottom-up emissions inventory estimates.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.003 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".