Spectral Characteristics of Hydraulic Fracturing-Induced Seismicity Can Distinguish between Activation of Faults and Fractures
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Analysis of earthquake spectra can aid in understanding source characteristics like stress drop and rupture complexity. There is growing interest in probing the similarities and differences of fault rupture for natural and human-induced seismic events. Here, we analyze waveform data from a shallow, buried geophone array that recorded seismicity during a hydraulic fracturing operation near Fox Creek, Alberta. Starting from a quality-controlled catalog of 4000 events between magnitude 0 and 3.2, we estimate source-spectral corner frequencies using methods that account for the band-limited nature of the sensor response. The stress-drop values are found to be approximately self-similar, but with a slight magnitude dependence in which larger events have higher stress drop (∼10 MPa). Careful analysis of the relative corner frequencies shows that individual fault and fracture segments experienced systematic variations in relative corner frequency over time, indicating a possible change in the stress state. Clustering analysis of source spectra based on the relative proportion of high- and low-frequency content relative to the Brune model further shows that event complexity evolves over time. In addition, the faults produce earthquakes with systematically larger stress-drop values than the fractures. Combined, these results indicate that the features activated by hydraulic fracturing experience observable changes in source behavior over time and exhibit different properties depending on the orientation, scale, and fabric of the structural feature on which they occur.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".