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Record W4376868067 · doi:10.21203/rs.3.rs-2880031/v1

The Encke Comet Impact/Airburst and the Younger Dryas Boundary: Testing the Impossible Hypothesis (YDIH)

2023· preprint· en· W4376868067 on OpenAlexfundno aff
William C. Mahaney, Peeter Somelar

Bibliographic record

VenueResearch Square · 2023
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldEarth and Planetary Sciences
TopicGeology and Paleoclimatology Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersYork UniversityNational Geographic Society
KeywordsYounger DryasMeltwaterGeologyPleistocenePaleontologyIce sheetGlacial periodOceanography

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Many have tagged the Younger Dryas Impact Hypothesis, (YDIH) an ethereal expression to explain the Younger Dryas (YD) climatic reversal, namely the Younger Dryas Boundary (YDB), a theory, deniers state, lacking convincing evidence in support. The core of the hypothesis lies squarely on anti-uniformitarianism, that is, uniform processes moving uniformly with no room for catastrophic events, specifically cosmic catastrophic forces. Beyond philosophically based aversion to the YDIH, specific criticism comes from megafauna and archaeologic corners, related to the near coeval disappearance of specific Late Pleistocene species on the one hand, and relation to disruption and temporary disappearance of the Clovis people on the other. Coupled to all this, breakup of the Laurentide Ice Sheet (LIS) and resultant Lake Agassiz-Mackenzie River floods, disrupting the thermohaline circulation of the North Atlantic, all meltwater induced marine coupled atmospheric cooling is at the heart of the Late Glacial/Younger Dryas transition. In short, deniers of the cosmic link—the black mat----use geohydrologic explanations to explain the foremost climatic reversal of the Late Pleistocene. The geologic paradigm, firmly in place with meltwater release into the Atlantic in tow, attention slowly drifted to explanation of an innocuous looking, thin (~ 1–2 cm), black sediment bed found in lacustrine and fluvial deposits of the American southwest, and other places. Thus, with thin dark beds of Gubbio in mind, the quest to explain black mat (BM) beds took on a cosmic aspect, one with growing, supporting evidence on several continents. The impossible hypothesis, now the probable explanation of the YD climatic reversal, is at center stage, set at 12.8 ka, with a burgeoning corpus of undeniable evidence its cornerstone. It is this undeniable evidence that is the subject of this paper.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.007
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.031

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.007
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.001
Science and technology studies0.0020.004
Scholarly communication0.0030.002
Open science0.0010.002
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0090.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.154
GPT teacher head0.372
Teacher spread0.218 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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