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Record W4377839839 · doi:10.5897/jeif2023.1195

Do exchange rates influence US poultry exports?

2023· article· en· W4377839839 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Jebaraj Asirvatham, Olaoye Mayowa

Bibliographic record

VenueJournal of Economics and International Finance · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicEconomics of Agriculture and Food Markets
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsChinaBusinessProduction (economics)Agricultural economicsPoultry farmingExchange rateKey (lock)International tradeRegression analysisEconomicsInternational economicsGeographyBiologyFinance

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

The United States is the world’s largest poultry producer and exports about 18% of its total poultry production. With the global demand for poultry products projected to rise further, understanding key factors in world trade is essential for better trade.  We study the influence of key demand factors, that is, exchange rate, poultry price and income of importing country on US poultry products. We focused  on the top five importers namely, Mexico, Canada, China, Hong Kong, and Russia. A fixed effects model and a double-log multiple regression model are used.  All three demand factors in a country were significantly associated with the quantity of poultry. Exchange rate negatively influenced US exports to the five countries.  However, the magnitude, direction, and significance of these three variables varied for each country as shown in the country-level regression estimates.   Key words: Exchange rate, poultry trade, US poultry exports, poultry exports.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.558
Threshold uncertainty score0.642

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.001
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.028
GPT teacher head0.232
Teacher spread0.205 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designTheoretical or conceptual
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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