Associations Between Hourly Ambient Particulate Matter Air Pollution and Ambulance Emergency Calls: Time-Stratified Case-Crossover Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background Associations between short-term exposure to ambient particulate matter (PM) air pollutants and mortality or hospital admissions have been well-documented in previous studies. Less is known about the associations of hourly exposure to PM air pollutants with ambulance emergency calls (AECs) for all causes and specific causes by conducting a case-crossover study. In addition, different patterns of AECs may be attributed to different seasons and daytime or nighttime periods. Objective In this study, we quantified the risk of all-cause and cause-specific AECs associated with hourly PM air pollutants between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2019, in Shenzhen, China. We also examined whether the observed associations of PM air pollutants with AECs for all causes differed across strata defined by sex, age, season, and the time of day. Methods We used ambulance emergency dispatch data and environmental data between January 1, 2013, and December 31, 2019, from the Shenzhen Ambulance Emergency Centre and the National Environmental Monitor Station to conduct a time-stratified case-crossover study to estimate the associations of air pollutants (ie, PM with an aerodynamic diameter less than 2.5 µm [PM2.5] or 10 µm [PM10]) with all-cause and cause-specific AECs. We generated a well-established, distributed lag nonlinear model for nonlinear concentration response and nonlinear lag-response functions. We used conditional logistic regression to estimate odds ratios with 95% CIs, adjusted for public holidays, season, the time of day, the day of the week, hourly temperature, and hourly humidity, to examine the association of all-cause and cause-specific AECs with hourly air pollutant concentrations. Results A total of 3,022,164 patients were identified during the study period in Shenzhen. Each IQR increase in PM2.5 (24.0 µg/m3) and PM10 (34.0 µg/m3) concentrations over 24 hours was associated with an increased risk of AECs (PM2.5: all-cause, 1.8%, 95% CI 0.8%-2.4%; PM10: all-cause, 2.0%, 95% CI 1.1%-2.9%). We observed a stronger association of all-cause AECs with PM2.5 and PM10 in the daytime than in the nighttime (PM2.5: daytime, 1.7%, 95% CI 0.5%-3.0%; nighttime, 1.4%, 95% CI 0.3%-2.6%; PM10: daytime, 2.1%, 95% CI 0.9%-3.4%; nighttime, 1.7%, 95% CI 0.6%-2.8%) and in the older group than in the younger group (PM2.5: 18-64 years, 1.4%, 95% CI 0.6%-2.1%; ≥65 years, 1.6%, 95% CI 0.6%-2.6%; PM10: 18-64 years, 1.8%, 95% CI 0.9%-2.6%; ≥65 years, 2.0%, 95% CI 1.1%-3.0%). Conclusions The risk of all-cause AECs increased consistently with increasing concentrations of PM air pollutants, showing a nearly linear relationship with no apparent thresholds. PM air pollution increase was associated with a higher risk of all-cause AECs and cardiovascular diseases–, respiratory diseases–, and reproductive illnesses–related AECs. The results of this study may be valuable to air pollution attributable to the distribution of emergency resources and consistent air pollution control.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.003 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".