Verified Hepatorenal Syndrome Reversal As A Robust Multi-Component Primary End Point: The CONFIRM Study Trial Design
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Khurram Jamil,1 S Chris Pappas,2 Florence Wong,3 Arun J Sanyal4 1Department of Scientific Affairs, Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals, Bedminster, NJ, USA; 2Scientific Affairs, Orphan Therapeutics, Lebanon, NJ, USA; 3Department of Medicine, Division of Gastroenterology, University of Toronto, Toronto, ON, Canada; 4Division of Gastroenterology and Hepatology, Virginia Commonwealth University, Richmond, VA, USACorrespondence: Khurram JamilDepartment of Scientific Affairs, Mallinckrodt Pharmaceuticals, 1405 US-206, Bedminster Township, NJ 07921, USATel +1 908 238 6416Email khurram.jamil@mnk.comBackground: Hepatorenal syndrome type 1 (HRS-1) is an uncommon, rapidly progressing, potentially fatal renal failure if left untreated. Terlipressin is a vasopressin analog that is first-line therapy in combination with albumin for treatment of HRS-1 in countries outside of North America. In two previous Phase III clinical trials, terlipressin showed favorable effects on improvement in renal function compared with placebo; however, neither study showed a significant between-group difference in the primary end point. CONFIRM (NCT02770716) is an ongoing clinical trial designed to address operational challenges observed in the previous studies by using a novel, more clinically relevant primary end point than the previous studies.Methods: This Phase III, randomized, double-blind, multicenter study is expected to enroll about 300 patients at approximately 70 sites in the US and Canada. Patients with cirrhosis and ascites demonstrating renal impairment via rapidly progressive worsening of serum creatinine (SCr) level (≥199 μmol/L [≥2.25 mg/dL] with a trajectory of SCr doubling over 2 weeks) are randomized 2:1 to receive either terlipressin 1 mg every 6 hrs as an IV bolus injection or placebo. The design of the study is generally similar to previous terlipressin prospective studies in the setting of HRS-1. A key feature differentiating this study from the previous ones centers around a novel, multi-component efficacy variable that extends beyond the traditional outcome of improvement in renal function to include durability of treatment-related effects on renal replacement therapy (RRT) requirements and survival. To meet criteria for the primary efficacy end point in CONFIRM, patients must show not only HRS reversal confirmed by two SCr values ≤1.5 mg/dL, but also survive, without RRT, for at least 10 days after achieving it.Conclusion: Data from this pivotal study will demonstrate whether terlipressin treatment is effective as measured by a new, clinically meaningful, multi-component primary efficacy end point.Keywords: acute kidney injury, end-stage liver disease, renal insufficiency, vasoconstrictor agents, vasopressin
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.013 | 0.011 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.004 | 0.003 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.003 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.008 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".