Exploratory analysis using discrete event simulation modelling of the wait times and service costs associated with the maximum wait time guarantee policy applied in a rheumatology central intake clinic
Why this work is in the frame
A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Adherence to wait time benchmark targets for the diagnosis and initiation of interventions for rheumatoid arthritis is crucial in altering the disease trajectory. We analysed the impact of the maximum wait time guarantee (MWTG) policy for routing referrals for the initial rheumatologist consults on the waiting and service costs. We modelled a central intake system for a rheumatology clinic as a discrete event simulation (DES) model. Using data from a central intake and rheumatology clinic as input to the model of the system, we simulated the arrival of referrals and rheumatologist visits of patients. We demonstrated the impact of the referral policy on system performance and compared the system costs in an MWTG policy and first-available-appointment policy scenarios. MWTG policy is an option for a wait time management strategy but comes with essential cost considerations. Healthcare managers and policymakers should consider the DES approach to support referral decision policy choices.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.003 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it