Abstract B046: Multimodal biomarkers that predict the presence of Gleason pattern 4: Potential impact for active surveillance
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Abstract Purpose: Latent Grade Group (GG) ≥2 prostate cancer can impact the performance of active surveillance (AS) protocols. To date, molecular biomarkers for AS have relied solely on RNA or protein. We trained and independently validated multimodal (mRNA abundance, DNA methylation, and DNA copy number) biomarkers that more accurately separate GG1 from GG≥2 cancers. Materials and Methods: Low- and intermediate-risk prostate cancer patients were assigned to training (n=333) and validation (n=202) cohorts. We profiled the abundance of 342 mRNAs, 100 DNA copy number aberration (CNA) loci and 14 hypermethylation sites at two locations per tumor. Using the training cohort with cross- validation, we evaluated methods for training classifiers of pathologic GG≥2 in centrally reviewed radical prostectomies (RPs). We trained two distinct classifiers, PRONTO-e and PRONTO-m, and validated them in an independent RP cohort. Results: PRONTO-e comprises 353 mRNA and CNA features. PRONTO-m includes 94 clinical, mRNAs, CNAs and methylation features at 14 and 12 loci, respectively. In independent validation, PRONTO-e and PRONTO-m predicted GG≥2 with respective true positive rates of 0.81 and 0.76, false positive rates of 0.43 and 0.26. Both classifiers were resistant to sampling error and identified more upgraded men than a well-validated pre-surgical risk calculator, CAPRA (p <0.001). Conclusions: Two GG classifiers with superior accuracy were developed by incorporating RNA and DNA features and validated in an independent cohort. Upon further validation in biopsy samples, classifiers with these performance characteristics could refine selection of men for AS, extending their treatment-free survival and intervals between surveillance. Citation Format: Anna Y. Lee, David M. Berman, Robert Lesurf, Palak G. Patel, Walead Ebrahimizadeh, Jane Bayani, Laura A. Lee, Nadia Boufaied, Shamini Selvarajah, Tamara Jamaspishvili, Karl-Philippe Guérard, Dan Dion, Atsunari Kawashima, Gina M. Clarke, Nathan How, Chelsea L. Jackson, Eleonora Scarlata, Khurram Siddiqui, John B.A. Okello, Armen G. Aprikian, Madeleine Moussa, Antonio Finelli, Joseph Chin, Fadi Brimo, Glenn Bauman, Andrew Loblaw, Vasundara Venkateswaran, Ralph Buttyan, Simone Chevalier, Axel Thomson, Paul C. Park, D. Robert Siemens, Jacques Lapointe, Paul C. Boutros, John M.S. Bartlett. Multimodal biomarkers that predict the presence of Gleason pattern 4: Potential impact for active surveillance [abstract]. In: Proceedings of the AACR Special Conference: Advances in Prostate Cancer Research; 2023 Mar 15-18; Denver, Colorado. Philadelphia (PA): AACR; Cancer Res 2023;83(11 Suppl):Abstract nr B046.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".