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Record W4379792669 · doi:10.1097/hs9.0000000000000905

Prevalence and Clinical Outcome of Omicron Breakthrough Infection in Patients With Hematologic Disease: A Prospective Observational Cohort Study

2023· article· en· W4379792669 on OpenAlexaboutno aff
Kentaro Narita, Daisuke Ikeda, Mizuki Seki, Ami Fukumoto, Rikako Tabata, Yuka Uesugi, Daisuke Miura, Masami Takeuchi, Masahiro Doi, Yuka Umezawa, Yoshihito Otsuka, Kosei Matsue

Bibliographic record

VenueHemaSphere · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSARS-CoV-2 and COVID-19 Research
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsObservational studyMedicineCohort studyDiseaseProspective cohort studyCohortHematologic diseaseInternal medicineOutcome (game theory)PediatricsIntensive care medicine

Abstract

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The Omicron variants (OVs) of SARS-CoV-2 are highly transmissible, and the vaccine is less effective against it compared with earlier variants.1,2 In general cohorts, the symptoms caused by the OVs are reported to be mild.3 However, the prevalence and severity of OVs in patients with hematologic diseases (HDs) have not been sufficiently reported.4 Hence, we report a single-center prospective observational cohort study on postvaccination antibody titers, clinical symptoms, and their prognosis to identify risk factors for breakthrough infection by OVs and its severity in patients with HDs. The anti-SARS-CoV-2 spike antibody (anti-S) titers after the second dose (post-D2) and after the third dose (post-D3) of vaccination were measured between July 2021 and September 2022 in patients with HD and healthcare workers (HCW) for comparison. The incidence of newly confirmed Omicron breakthrough infections among the fully vaccinated (≥D2) participants was investigated from January 1 to September 30, 2022. A flow diagram of patient enrollment is shown in Suppl. Figure S1, and their baseline characteristics according to the infection status are shown in Table 1. Detailed study materials and methods are shown in Suppl. Materials and Methods. Table 1 - Demographic and Clinical Characteristics, Treatment, Vaccine Status, and Postvaccination Antibody Titers of the Entire Cohort Characteristics Total(n = 922) No Infection(n = 847) COVID-19(n = 75) Age, y; median (IQR) 72 (64–78) 72 (64–78) 68 (57–78) Age ≥70, n (%) 539 (58.4) 505 (93.7) 34 (6.3) Female, n (%) 421 (45.7) 389 (92.4) 32 (7.6) Disease, n (%) Lymphoid neoplasms 642 (69.6) 591 (69.8) 51 (68.0) Malignant lymphoma 431 (46.7) 397 (46.9) 34 (45.3) Plasma cell dyscrasia 188 (20.4) 173 (20.4) 15 (20.0) Others 23 (2.5) 21 (2.5) 2 (2.7) Myeloid neoplasms 219 (23.8) 202 (24.7) 17 (22.7) Benign hematologic disease 61 (6.6) 54 (5.9) 7 (9.3) Treatment, n (%) Ongoing treatment 377 (40.9) 348 (41.1) 29 (38.7) CD20 antibody within a year 146 (15.8) 128 (15.1) 18 (24.0) CD20 antibody+bendamustine within a year 36 (3.9) 30 (3.5) 6 (8.0) CD38 antibody within a year 82 (8.9) 71 (8.4) 11(14.7) Allogenic SCT within a year 11 (1.2) 11 (1.3) 0 (0) Vaccination doses before infection, n (%) 2 59 (6.4) 30 (3.5) 29 (38.7) ≥3 840 (91.1) 794 (88.4) 46 (61.3) Missing 23 (2.5) 23 (2.7) 0 (0) Anti-S level after vaccination, U/mL, median (IQR) post-D2 anti-S (n = 820) 157 (22–421) 161 (22–419) 81 (2–556) post-D3 anti-S (n = 617) 9862 (1439-23,379) 9979 (1536-23,746) 4670 (908-16,805) ALL = acute lymphoblastic leukemia; AML/MDS = acute myeloid leukemia/myelodysplastic syndrome; anti-S = anti-SARS-CoV-2 antibody titers of spike antigen; CML = chronic myeloid leukemia; IQR = interquartile range; MM = multiple myeloma; MPN = myeloproliferative neoplasms; SCT = stem cell transplantation; sMM/MGUS = smoldering myeloma/monoclonal gammopathy of undetermined significance. The overall cumulative incidence rates (IR) were compared between the HD and HCW cohorts (Suppl. Figure S2). HCW were significantly younger (median age, 29 years; interquartile range [IQR], 25–46; P < 0.01) compared with the patients with HD. Breakthrough infections occurred in 75 (8.1%) of 660 persons per year in HD and 12 (13.6%) of 63 persons per year in HCW cohorts. The cumulative IR was not significantly different between the HD and HCW cohorts (log-rank, P = 0.08). The HD patients were divided into D2- and D3-cohorts based on their vaccination status (Suppl. Materials and Methods). The association between the clinical factors and the risk of breakthrough infection in the D2- and D3-cohorts were examined (Suppl. Table S1). Multivariate analysis showed that old age and the recent use of anti-CD20 antibodies were independent and significant, negative and positive predictors for the breakthrough infection in the D2 cohort. In the D3-cohort, none of the clinical variables showed statistical significance. The anti-S levels at the post-D2 and post-D3 were compared between the HD and HCW cohorts (Suppl. Figure S3A). The median anti-S levels at post-D2 (153 U/mL) and post-D3 (9836 U/mL) in the HD cohort were approximately 6 and 2 times lower than those of the HCW cohort (724 U/mL and 23,523 U/ml), respectively. Furthermore, most of the patients with HD (133/153, 86.9%) and all HCWs (n = 39) showed a decrease in their anti-S levels, with a median decline of 16.8% and 13.2% per month, respectively (Suppl. Figure S3B). Next, the association between the anti-S levels and infection risk in post-D2 (n = 734) and post-D3 HD patients (n = 525) was analyzed (Figure 1A and 1B). The median time interval between D2 and post-D2, and D3 and post-D3, was 173 days (IQR, 152–191) and 25 days (IQR, 17–37), respectively. Compared with the seronegative patients, there was no significant dose-dependent association between the anti-S levels and the risk of breakthrough infection. Highly variable anti-S levels (median, 112 U/mL; range, 0.4–88,377) before breakthrough infection regardless of subvariants in 42 of 75 (56%) patients, whose anti-S titer were assessable, also support the limited impact of the quantitative role of anti-S levels on protection (Figure 1C).Figure 1.: Anti-S levels with breakthrough infection and longitudinal changes of anti-S and cycle threshold of PCR. Forest plot displaying age-adjusted incidence rate ratios of post-D2 anti-S levels in the D2-cohort (A) and post-D3 in the D3-cohort (B) for breakthrough infection. Anti-S values were divided into 4 quartiles, and the IRR of patients with each quartile was compared with those seronegative. The syringe and blood sample icon represent vaccination and anti-S measurement, respectively. (C) Preinfection anti-S levels according to the estimated subvariants (BA.1, BA.2, and BA.5). (D) Longitudinal changes of anti-S and (E) cycle threshold of PCR before and after breakthrough infection in 9 patients. Cross key mark denotes death by COVID-19. Patients 8 and 9 were transferred to our hospital on day 35 and day 28 after the infection. anti-S = anti-spike receptor-binding domain antibody; CI = confidence interval; Ct = cycle threshold; D2 = 2 doses; D3 = 3 doses; D4 = 4 doses; IQR = interquartile range; IRR = incidence rate ratio; Q1 = first quartile; Q2 = second quartile; Q3 = third quartile.Longitudinal changes in anti-S, and PCR cycle threshold (Ct) values were available for 9 patients with confirmed OVs (Figure 1D and 1E). Four patients (patients 1–4) achieved a negative PCR result within 21 days, while 5 (patients 5–9) did not. One (patient 3) died on day 14, postinfection, due to the progression of follicular lymphoma. Five patients with persistent infection were seronegative before infection and 4 remained seronegative until 49 days after infection. All but 1 patient with persistent infection received bendamustine and anti-CD20 antibodies within a year before infection. One patient (patient 8) received bendamustine >2 years prior but had very low T-cell counts (CD4 count: 159/μL and CD8 count: 399/μL). None of the patients with nonpersistent infection received bendamustine treatment within a year. Absolute lymphocyte counts and lymphocyte subsets were compared between patients with nonpersistent and persistent infections. CD3, CD4, and CD8 counts were significantly lower in patients with persistent infection (Suppl. Figure S4). Treatment and clinical outcomes of patients with OVs are summarized in Suppl. Table S2. Symptoms at diagnosis in patients without oxygen demand (n = 66, 88.0%) were mild and did not require hospitalization. All asymptomatic patients were diagnosed with COVID-19 using a screening test because of their close contact with infected patients. Thirteen patients (17.3%) were seronegative before infection, 4 of which (6.4%) required oxygen therapy. Overall, 29 (38.6%) patients received COVID-19-specific therapies and 46 (61.3%) required no treatment. Nine (12.0%) patients required oxygen therapy for COVID-19 pneumonia. Specifically, patients who received bendamustine within a year were significantly more likely to require oxygen therapy than those who did not (3/6 [50%] versus 6/69 [8.7%]; P = 0.02). All 3 patients who died of COVID-19 had a high oxygen demand and poor general condition at the onset. In addition, 3 patients also died due to the worsening of the hematologic malignancies. The study showed that there was no significant difference in the incidence of breakthrough infections between HD patients and HCWs, despite their potential vulnerabilities including older age, lower antibody titers, and disease-induced and/or treatment-induced immunosuppression. Similar to our results, a disparate COVID-19 prevalence was observed in a previous report that included patients with cancer.5 In addition, the recent exposure to B-cell depletion therapy was no longer a significant factor for the increased risk of breakthrough infections in the D3-cohort. Altogether, our findings suggest that behavioral factors such as social activity and social distancing measures might be more important than immunological profiles in preventing Omicron infections, at least after booster vaccination. The OVs have multiple mutations in its spike protein, which is responsible for immune evasion to neutralize antibodies. However, a dose-dependent association between the anti-S levels and the risk of infection was not observed in line with the previous report of the immunocompetent settings.6 Given the immune escape properties of Omicron, protection may require extremely high antibody titers,7 or antibodies that are more specific to Omicron than conventional antibodies.8 In the present HD cohort, which included 17.3% of seronegative patients after full vaccination, only 3 patients (4.0%) died and only 9 (12.0%) patients required hospitalization. The remaining patients were treated as outpatients or did not require treatment. The mild symptoms of infection and the low mortality rate, even in patients with low antibody titers, suggest that the OV itself causes less frequent and less severe pneumonia than the previous variants. The low hospital admissions and mortality rates were comparable with a larger immunocompetent cohort with OV infections and are reduced from those seen with the Delta variant based on the studies in South Africa and Canada.9,10 Prolonged viral shedding of SARS-CoV-2 including OVs was previously described in several case reports and case series with severely immunocompromised patients.11,12 In our cohort, there was no difference in the frequency of infection with OVs between patients treated with CD20 antibodies plus bendamustine and those treated with drugs other than bendamustine within 1 year. However, in patients with available longitudinal PCR data, delayed viral shedding was observed in 5 patients with Omicron infection who received CD20 antibody therapy plus bendamustine, whereas patients who did not receive the bendamustine did not have delayed viral shedding. The factors leading to delayed viral shedding include a varying degree of T-lymphocytopenia in persistently infected patients, possibly associated with the use of bendamustine, while CD19 counts did not differ between the 2groups. In our cohort, all 3 patients who died of COVID-19-related pneumonia did not receive a booster dose of vaccination, although booster vaccination does not only dramatically increase the neutralizing antibody titer but also may enhance T-cell reactivity to the OV.13 In addition, the clinical study, which reported that a booster dose of vaccination reduced the hospitalization and death rates by OV compared with 2 doses of vaccination, was consistent with our observations. The major strength of this study is its large cohort with detailed clinical information in combination with serological data of patients, including viral kinetic assessment. However, this study also has several limitations. First, we could not directly measure the neutralizing antibody titers against Omicron. The low incidence of breakthrough infections makes it difficult to adjust potential confounding factors. Furthermore, this study was conducted during a limited time window when OVs became predominant with the wide distribution of existing mRNA vaccines. Prophylaxis against OVs has been developed through vaccination with bivalent vaccines14 and monoclonal antibodies such as tixagevimab-cilgavimab.15 However, given the antibody response to vaccines and its attenuation in HD patients, there is a possibility that antibody production to these bivalent vaccines may not be sufficient to prevent breakthrough OV infections, rather passive immunization with bivalent vaccines might be more effective, although this should be evaluated in the context of clinical practice. ACKNOWLEDGMENTS The authors thank Eri Narita and Miyuki Imai for secretarial assistance during the study. The authors thank the patients and volunteers who participated in this study. They thank Editage (https://www.editage.jp) for English language editing. The authors also thank Sho Miyamoto and Tadaki Suzuki (Department of Pathology, National Institute of Infectious Diseases) for viral culture. AUTHOR CONTRIBUTIONS KN, DI, and KM contributed to the study design, data collection, data interpretation, provided patient care, and wrote the article. KN and DI performed statistical analysis. MS, AF, RT, YU, DM, and MT collected data and provided patient care. MD, YU, and YO performed serological tests. All authors critically reviewed and approved the article. DISCLOSURES The authors have no conflicts of interest to disclose. SOURCES OF FUNDING The authors declare no sources of funding for this manuscript.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.351

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.068
GPT teacher head0.396
Teacher spread0.328 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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