Abstract 11319: Post-Operative Dialysis in Failing Fontan Patients Undergoing Heart Transplant: How Well Does the Pre-Transplant Creatinine Clearance Risk-Stratify Patients?
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Introduction: The need for dialysis early post-heart transplant (HT) can be suprisng when it occurs in the setting of purportedly normal renal function pre-HT, as has been described in failing Fontan (FF) patients. Hypothesis: We hypothesized that FF patients may have an increased incidence of post-operative dialysis (POD). Methods: The Pediatric Heart Transplant Society (PHTS) database was used to identify all children ≥2 years of age with failing Fontan (FF) physiology or cardiomyopathy (CM, benchmark lesion) who underwent isolated HT from 2005-2019. The primary endpoint was POD, defined as any form of dialysis within the first 30 days post-HT. Pre-transplant estimated glomerular filtration rate (eGFR) was calculated using the modified Schwartz formula, and a subset of patients with provided supplemental data additionally had renal function evaluated by a non-creatinine-based method. Results: Of 2003 children who met the inclusion criteria, 263 had FF (13%) and 1740 had CM (87%). Whereas the mean ages were similar (FF 11.2 vs CM 12.2 years, P=0.3), FF patients were 11% shorter (134 vs. 148, P<0.001) and 9 kg lighter (31.2 vs. 40.2, P<0.001), and had a lower serum creatinine (0.57 vs. 0.64 mg/dl, P=0.001) but similar eGFR pre-transplant (110.2 vs. 106.7 L/min/1.73m 2 , P=0.26). In a subset of 22 FF patients with available results from 24-hour urine collection or nuclear medicine scan, the Schwartz formula overestimated the GFR in 15/22 patients by an average of 40.2 ml/min/1.73 m2 (range 2.6 to 91.8). Overall, compared to CM patients, FF patients had a 4.7-fold higher risk of requiring POD (3.8% vs. 0.8%, P<0.001). Of those who required POD, the difference in 30 day post-HT mortality was not significant (40% vs. 14%, 0.3). Multivariable analysis revealed that pre-HT ECMO and longer CPB times were independently associated with POD; there was a trend toward association of higher pre-HT eGFR (P=0.06). Conclusions: Fontan patients have a ~5-fold higher risk of post-operative dialysis compared to cardiomyopathy patients, and despite a normal or even supraphysiological pre-transplant estimated CrCl. Non-creatinine-based methods independent of malnutrition status should be considered in the FF population.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.002 | 0.007 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".