A transformer-based approach for early prediction of soybean yield using time-series images
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Crop yield prediction which provides critical information for management decision-making is of significant importance in precision agriculture. Traditional manual inspection and calculation are often laborious and time-consuming. For yield prediction using high-resolution images, existing methods, e.g., convolutional neural network, are challenging to model long range multi-level dependencies across image regions. This paper proposes a transformer-based approach for yield prediction using early-stage images and seed information. First, each original image is segmented into plant and soil categories. Two vision transformer (ViT) modules are designed to extract features from each category. Then a transformer module is established to deal with the time-series features. Finally, the image features and seed features are combined to estimate the yield. A case study has been conducted using a dataset that was collected during the 2020 soybean-growing seasons in Canadian fields. Compared with other baseline models, the proposed method can reduce the prediction error by more than 40%. The impact of seed information on predictions is studied both between models and within a single model. The results show that the influence of seed information varies among different plots but it is particularly important for the prediction of low yields.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".