After scoring the first goal, is the team more vulnerable to suffer the equalizer soon after? An analysis of the Brazilian soccer Championship Serie A between 2011 and 2021
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The aim of the present study was to investigate whether, after scoring a goal, the team becomes more vulnerable to conceding a goal soon after. A total of 518 results were collected and integrated the data of the present study. The independent Chi-square test was used to analyze the data. The values of adjusted residue were observed, and all values outside the range of -1.96 to 1.96 were considered. All analyzes were performed using α = 5%. The scoring goal equalizer moment happened in the first-quarter 109 matches (21.0%), second-quarter 156 matches (30.1%), third-quarter 127 matches (24.5%), and fourth-quarter 126 matches (24.3%), totalizing 518 (100%) matches, but no association between season and scoring goal equalizer moment (χ² (30) = 28.196, p>0.05; Cramer’s V test: 0.135). The data collected showed that the equalizing goal can occur at different moments of the game, not only right after the first goal is score.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.002 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it