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Record W4381956691 · doi:10.1097/cxa.0000000000000133

Predictors of Unplanned Readmissions Among Patients With Substance Use Disorders

2022· article· en· W4381956691 on OpenAlexaffvenue
Louise Penzenstadler, Anne Chatton, Carina Soares, Diego Machicao, Daniele Zullino, Yasser Khazaal

Bibliographic record

VenueThe Canadian Journal of Addiction · 2022
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicSubstance Abuse Treatment and Outcomes
Canadian institutionsUniversité de Montréal
Fundersnot available
KeywordsMedicineHospital readmissionProportional hazards modelHospital dischargeEmergency medicinePediatricsInternal medicine

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

ABSTRACT Objective: The objective of this study was to evaluate predictors of unplanned readmission to a specialized hospital addiction unit within less than 30 days, between 30 and 60 days and over 60 days post-discharge among individuals with a diagnosis of substance use disorder. Methods: Cox proportional hazards regressions were used to test the effects of potential risk factors on time-to-onset for unplanned readmissions. The outcome (survival time) was the length of time to hospital readmission and the predictors were age, sex, duration of the first hospital stay, Health of Nation Outcome Scales score and Brief Symptom Check List. Results: Of the 750 readmissions analyzed for the reported period 28.0% took place in less than 30 days, 12.0% between 30 and 60 days and 60.0% after 60 days of discharge. Length of the first hospitalization was a statistically significant predictor of readmission between 30 and 60 days and over 60 days but not for less than 30 days. A 10% increase in length of the first hospitalization, holding all other variables constant, was associated with a 5.0% decrease in unplanned readmissions occurring between 30 and 60 days and a 2.2% decrease in readmissions over 60 days post-discharge. Conclusion: Length of the first hospitalization was found to be a protective factor of readmission between 30 and 60 days and over 60 days but not for less than 30 days post-discharge. The longer the duration of the first hospitalization, the less quickly patients were readmitted to hospital. Objectif: L’objectif de cette étude était d’évaluer les prédicteurs de réadmissions non planifiées dans une unité hospitalière spécialisée en addiction en moins de 30 jours, entre 30 et 60 jours et plus de 60 jours après leur sortie chez les personnes ayant un diagnostic de trouble lié à l’utilisation de substances (TUS). Méthode: Les régressions des risques proportionnels de Cox ont été utilisées pour tester les effets des facteurs de risques potentiels sur le temps reliés aux réadmissions non planifiées. Le pronostic (durée de survie) était la durée jusqu’à la réadmission à l’hôpital et les vérifiables étaient l’âge, le sexe, la durée du premier séjour à l’hôpital, le score des résultats du Health of Nation Outcome Scales (HoNOS-F) et la liste de contrôle des symptômes du Brief Symptom Check List (BSCL). Résultats: Sur les 750 réadmissions analysées pour la période rapportée, 28,0% ont eu lieu en moins de 30 jours, 12,0% entre 30 et 60 jours et 60,0% après 60 jours de congé. La durée de la première hospitalisation était une variable prédictive statistiquement significative pour les réadmissions entre 30 et 60 jours et les plus de 60 jours, mais pas pour les moins de 30 jours. Une augmentation de 10% de la durée de la première hospitalisation, en maintenant toutes les autres variables constantes, a été associée avec une diminution de 5,0% des réadmissions imprévues survenant entre 30 et 60 jours et une diminution de 2,2% des réadmissions plus de 60 jours après la libération. Conclusions: La durée de la première hospitalisation s’est avérée être un facteur de protection contre une réadmission entre 30 et 60 jours et au-delà de 60 jours mais pas pour les moins de 30 jours après la libération. Plus la durée de la première hospitalisation est longue, moins les patients sont réadmis rapidement à l’hôpital.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.105
Threshold uncertainty score0.910

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.012
GPT teacher head0.205
Teacher spread0.193 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

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Citations0
Published2022
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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