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Record W4383646203 · doi:10.1002/cjs.11784

A combined moment equation approach for spatial autoregressive models

2023· article· en· W4383646203 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

venuePublished in a venue whose home country is Canada.
no affNo Canadian affiliation: this work is invisible to an affiliation-only frame.
No Canadian affiliation. An affiliation-only frame, the usual design, would never have seen this work. It is one of the works that make the case for inverting the frame.

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian Journal of Statistics · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicSpatial and Panel Data Analysis
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersNational Institute of Neurological Disorders and StrokeNational Human Genome Research InstituteNational Key Research and Development Program of ChinaNational Natural Science Foundation of ChinaNational Institutes of HealthNational Science Foundation
KeywordsEstimatorAutoregressive modelMoment (physics)CovarianceGeneralized method of momentsApplied mathematicsResidualMathematicsMethod of moments (probability theory)Estimating equationsComputationMathematical optimizationComputer scienceEconometricsStatisticsAlgorithm

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract Existing methods for fitting spatial autoregressive models have various strengths and weaknesses. For example, the maximum likelihood estimation (MLE) approach yields efficient estimates but is computationally burdensome. Computationally efficient methods, such as generalized method of moments (GMMs) and spatial two‐stage least squares (2SLS), typically require exogenous covariates to be significant, a restrictive assumption that may fail in practice. We propose a new estimating equation approach, termed combined moment equation (COME), which combines the first moment with covariance conditions on the residual terms. The proposed estimator is less computationally demanding than MLE and does not need the restrictive exogenous conditions as required by GMM and 2SLS. We show that the proposed estimator is consistent and establish its asymptotic distribution. Extensive simulations demonstrate that the proposed method outperforms the competitors in terms of bias, efficiency, and computation. We apply the proposed method to analyze an air pollution study, and obtain some interesting results about the spatial distribution of PM2.5 concentrations in Beijing.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.001
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Theoretical or conceptual · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Methods · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.957
Threshold uncertainty score0.998

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.100
GPT teacher head0.229
Teacher spread0.129 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it