Frailty predicts knee pain trajectory over 9 years: results from the Osteoarthritis Initiative
Bibliographic record
Abstract
OBJECTIVE: Frailty is a multisystem syndrome and its relationship with symptomatic osteoarthritis has been reported. We aimed to identify trajectories of knee pain in a large prospective cohort and to describe the effect of frailty status at baseline on the pain trajectories over 9 years. METHODS: We included 4419 participants (mean age 61.3 years, 58% female) from the Osteoarthritis Initiative cohort. Participants were classified as "no frailty," "pre-frailty," or "frailty" at baseline, based on 5 characteristics (ie, unintentional weight loss, exhaustion, weak energy, slow gait speed, and low physical activity). Knee pain was evaluated annually using the Western Ontario and McMaster Universities Osteoarthritis Index pain subscale (0-20) from baseline to 9 years. RESULTS: Of the participants included, 38.4%, 55.4%, and 6.3% were classified as "no frailty," "pre-frailty," and "frailty," respectively. Five pain trajectories were identified: "No pain" (n = 1010, 22.8%), "Mild pain" (n = 1656, 37.3%), "Moderate pain" (n = 1149, 26.0%), "Severe pain" (n = 477, 10.9%), and "Very Severe pain" (n = 127, 3.0%). Compared to participants with no frailty, those with pre-frailty and frailty were more likely to have more severe pain trajectories (pre-frailty: odds ratios [ORs] 1.5 to 2.1; frailty: ORs 1.5 to 5.0), after adjusting for potential confounders. Further analyses indicated that the associations between frailty and pain were mainly driven by exhaustion, slow gait speed, and weak energy. CONCLUSIONS: Approximately two-thirds of middle-aged and older adults were frail or pre-frail. The role of frailty in predicting pain trajectories suggests that frailty may be an important treatment target for knee pain.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.022 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".