Some patterns of formation of extreme surface air temperature in the area of the Spitzbergen (Svalbard) archipelago during the cold period
Bibliographic record
Abstract
The article presents research findings of meteorological conditions during the formation of extreme surface air temperature (SAT) in the cold period from October to May in the Barentsburg area, the Spitzbergen (Svalbard) archipelago. Six extremely cold periods and six extremely warm periods for the weather sequence from 1912 to 2022 are considered. Correlation coefficients of extreme SAT in Barentsburg with extreme SAT in the points of Longyearbyen, Hornsund, Isfjord Radio, Pyramiden, Nu-Alesund, located in the west of Spitzbergen (Svalbard), were calculated. Also, characteristics of atmospheric circulation at the surface level, the level of the geopotential surface 500 hPa and 700 hPa and air temperature anomalies are analyzed, the results of comparing atmospheric circulation indices NAO and AO in the formation of extreme SAT are presented. Characteristic localizations of the polar vortex were found during the formation of negative and positive anomalies of SAT. For cold periods with extremely low temperatures, the localization of the polar vortex in the northeast of the Kara Sea and Severnaya Zemlya archipelago is observed. At the surface level the baric trough from the Atlantic depression is shifted to the coast of Scandinavia and the southern part of the Barents Sea. The Svalbard region is under the influence of the periphery of the anticyclonic field over the Arctic basin, Greenland, over the western Arctic Seas, conditions are formed for the deviation of SAT by 3–4 degrees below normal. In the case of extremely high SAT, the polar vortex is shifted to the eastern part of the Canadian Arctic Archipelago and the Baffin Sea. At the surface level, the baric trough from the Icelandic depression develops over the Greenland, Norwegian and Barents Seas, which leads to the moving of warm air masses from the Atlantic to polar latitudes and the formation of average SAT in the Spitzbergen (Svalbard) region above long-term values by 1–2 degrees. The estimates of macroprocesses obtained can be used for preparing long-term forecasts for the northern polar region and detailing them for the Spitzbergen (Svalbard) region.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".