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Record W4384433878 · doi:10.1353/ces.2023.a902154

From Temporary Foreign Workers to Permanent Residents: Differences in Transition Rates Among Work Permit Categories

2023· article· en· W4384433878 on OpenAlexvenueaboutno aff
Michael Haan, Yuchen Li

Bibliographic record

VenueCanadian ethnic studies · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicMigration and Labor Dynamics
Canadian institutionsnot available
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomic shortagePolitical scienceImmigrationHumanitiesEconomyDemographic economicsEthnologyGeographySociologyEconomicsArt

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Abstract: In recent years, temporary foreign workers (TFWs) have not only played an important role in filling Canada's labour shortages and advancing Canada's broad economic and cultural interests but are also seen as a large source of permanent residents admitted to Canada. TFWs come to Canada through various work permit categories under the Temporary Foreign Worker Program (TFWP) and the International Mobility Program (IMP). This research uses the 2019 Longitudinal Immigration Database (IMDB) to examine the factors that predict the transition rates of TFWs admitted to Canada between 2005 and 2014. The results of this study show that the five-year cumulative transition rates of TFWs are strongly associated with their work permit categories. Further, this study reveals that age, skill level, and initial destinations significantly affect the transition rates of TFWs in Canada. Finally, we discuss the implications of these findings for economic immigration policy and make suggestions for future research. Résumé: Ces dernières années, les travailleurs étrangers temporaires (TET) ont joué un rôle important non seulement en comblant les pénuries de main-d'oeuvre au Canada et en faisant progresser les intérêts économiques et culturels du pays, mais sont également considérés comme une grande source de résidents permanents admis au Canada. Les TET viennent au Canada grâce à diverses catégories de permis de travail dans le cadre du Programme des travailleurs étrangers temporaires (PTET) et du Programme de mobilité internationale (PMI). Cette recherche utilise la base de données longitudinales sur l'immigration de 2019 (IMDB) pour examiner les facteurs qui prédisent les taux de transition des TET qui sont admis au Canada entre 2005 et 2014. Les résultats de cette étude montrent que les taux de transition cumulative quinquennal des TET sont fortement associés à leurs catégories de permis de travail. De plus, cette étude révèle que l'âge, le niveau de compétence et les destinations initiales comportent le taux de transition des TET au Canada. Enfin, nous discutons des implications de ces résultats pour la politique d'immigration économique et nous faisons des suggestions pour des recherches futures.

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How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.299
Threshold uncertainty score0.537

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.103
GPT teacher head0.360
Teacher spread0.256 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one teacher head, not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations4
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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