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Record W4384927348 · doi:10.24124/2023/59406

Modeling study of nonlinear dynamics in the growth of aquatic phytoplankton

2023· dissertation· en· W4384927348 on OpenAlexaff
Qing Guo

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typedissertation
Languageen
FieldMedicine
TopicMathematical and Theoretical Epidemiology and Ecology Models
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Northern British Columbia
Fundersnot available
KeywordsPhytoplanktonPlanktonAlgal bloomPopulationDelay differential equationStochastic differential equationAquatic ecosystemEcosystemEcologyPopulation modelDifferential equationEnvironmental scienceMathematicsBiologyApplied mathematicsNutrient

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Phytoplankton bloom has become a growing global concern in recent years due to the excessive growth of algae, causing significant negative impacts on aquatic ecosystem and threatening human health. Growing evidence suggests that algal blooms are a consequence of the interplay of various hydrodynamical, chemical, and biological processes in aquatic systems. The complexity and nonlinearity of aquatic ecosystems, and the complexity of climatic and hydrographic events, make interpreting and predicting the blooms a very challenging task. In recent years, many different strategies have been adopted to manage algal blooms. Among them, mathematical models are advantageous because they can capture the ubiquitous stoichiometric constraints for modeling species growth and interaction. Thus, mathematical models have been widely used to investigate the dynamics of phytoplankton growth. In this study, five mathematical models were developed based on population dynamics, ecological dynamics, dynamic modeling, and probability theory. The models were investigated theoretically and numerically in terms of the theory of partial differential equations, stochastic differential equations, impulsive differential equations, and numerical simulation. The objective of this dissertation research was to gain insight into plankton dynamics and explore potential management strategies for excessive algal growth in aquatic systems. The main results are presented as follows: Firstly, a nutrient-plankton model incorporating delay and diffusion was developed. The theoretical analysis revealed that delay can trigger the nutrient-plankton oscillation via a Hopf bifurcation. Especially, the stability switches for positive equilibrium occur with increasing delay, which indicates that delay can generate and suppress the unstable coexistence of species population. Numerical results reveal that the stability switches for positive equilibrium indeed exist in the model, and the homogeneous multiple periodic solutions, as well as chaos, can occur with different values of delay, which implies that the model exhibits delay-induced complex dynamics. Secondly, a stochastic Leslie-Gower phytoplankton-zooplankton model with prey refuge was developed. The dynamical analysis revealed the sufficient conditions for the persistence and extinction of plankton populations. The numerical simulations showed that environmental noise and prey refuge play a crucial role in the survival of plankton species. The results further demonstrate that prey refuge can enhance the oscillation range of phytoplankton population, but the variance of zooplankton tends to increase and then decrease as prey refuge increased. Thirdly, considering seasonal disturbances in aquatic ecosystem, a stochastic nutrient-phytoplankton model with seasonal fluctuation was developed. The results indicate that periodic solutions exist under certain conditions, suggesting that plankton populations are associated with periodic oscillations. Furthermore, numerical results showed that seasonal fluctuation can trigger periodic blooms of phytoplankton and promote the coexistence of plankton species. Specifically, the results indicate that phytoplankton is more sensitive to nutrient than to seasonal fluctuation. Fourthly, a stochastic nutrient-plankton model with regime-switching was developed by considering regime-switching plankton mortality. The results showed that the model admits a stationary distribution under certain conditions. Then the numerical analysis revealed that the persistence and extinction of plankton populations are sensitive to variations in nutrient input. The numerical results also indicate that regime-switching plankton mortality contributes to the survival of plankton populations in the aquatic system. Finally, a stochastic nutrient-plankton model with impulsive control was developed. The theoretical analysis established sufficient conditions for the existence of periodic solutions. In addition, the numerical analysis showed that nutrient impulse plays an important role in preventing and controlling algal blooms, and appropriate environmental fluctuation can promote the coexistence of phytoplankton and zooplankton populations. However, excess intensity noise can result in the collapse of the entire ecosystem.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: Simulation or modeling
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.014
Threshold uncertainty score0.028

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.001
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0010.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0010.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.036
GPT teacher head0.332
Teacher spread0.296 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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