Classification of Low Earth Orbit (LEO) Resident Space Objects’ (RSO) Light Curves Using a Support Vector Machine (SVM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM)
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Light curves are plots of brightness measured over time. In the field of Space Situational Awareness (SSA), light curves of Resident Space Objects (RSOs) can be utilized to infer information about an RSO such as the type of object, its attitude, and its shape. Light curves of RSOs in geostationary orbit (GEO) have been a main research focus for many years due to the availability of long time series data spanning hours. Given that a large portion of RSOs are in low Earth orbit (LEO), it is of great importance to study trends in LEO light curves as well. The challenge with LEO light curves is that they tend to be short, typically no longer than a few minutes, which makes them difficult to analyze with typical time series techniques. This study presents a novel approach to observational LEO light curve classification. We extract features from light curves using a wavelet scattering transformation which is used as an input for a machine learning classifier. We performed light curve classification using both a conventional machine learning approach, namely a support vector machine (SVM), and a deep learning technique, long short-term memory (LSTM), to compare the results. LSTM outperforms SVM for LEO light curve classification with a 92% accuracy. This proves the viability of RSO classification by object type and spin rate from real LEO light curves.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".