Increased risk of dementia among people with a history of fractures: a systematic review and meta-analysis of population-based studies
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background: Emerging evidence suggests that there may be an association between a history of fractures and dementia risk, but the epidemiological findings are inconsistent. We, therefore, conducted a meta-analysis to systematically assess the risk of dementia among people with a history of fractures. Methods: We comprehensively searched four electronic databases (PubMed, Web of Science, Embase, and Cochrane Library) for relevant literature published from inception to 10 January 2023. Longitudinal observational studies that investigated the association between any type of fracture occurrence and the subsequent risk of dementia were included for qualitative and quantitative analysis. Risk estimates were pooled using fixed-effects or random-effects models according to the level of heterogeneity. The Newcastle-Ottawa scale was used to evaluate the risk of bias in the included studies. Results: A total of seven population-based studies involving 3,658,108 participants (136,179 with a history of fractures) were eventually included. Pooled results showed a significant association between fracture and subsequent risk of dementia [hazard ratio (HR) = 1.28, 95% confidence interval (CI): 1.11-1.48] in cohort studies. Patients with fractures at different sites showed a similar trend toward increased risk of subsequent dementia. No gender, age, region, duration of follow-up, study quality, or study design specificity were observed. Sensitivity analysis indicates that the current results are robust. No publication bias existed. The results were similar in the cohort study with the standardized incidence ratio (SIR) as the statistical measure (SIR = 1.58, 95% CI: 1.25-2.00) and in the case-control study (OR = 1.38, 95% CI: 1.18-1.61). Of note, the causal relationship between fracture and dementia was not demonstrated in this meta-analysis. Conclusion: People with a history of fractures are at increased risk of developing dementia. Enhanced screening and preventive management of dementia in people with a history of fractures may be beneficial.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.018 | 0.043 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.021 | 0.042 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.011 | 0.009 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".