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Record W4385429790 · doi:10.1007/s13555-023-00977-1

Matching-Adjusted Indirect Comparison of the Long-Term Efficacy of Deucravacitinib Versus Adalimumab for Moderate to Severe Plaque Psoriasis

2023· article· en· W4385429790 on OpenAlexfundno aff
April W. Armstrong, Sang Hee Park, Vardhaman Patel, Malcolm Hogan, Wei‐Jhih Wang, David Davidson, Viktor Chirikov

Bibliographic record

VenueDermatology and Therapy · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldImmunology and Microbiology
TopicPsoriasis: Treatment and Pathogenesis
Canadian institutionsnot available
FundersSanofi GenzymeLEO PharmaBristol-Myers SquibbEli Lilly and CompanyOrtho DermatologicsDermiraSun PharmaRegeneron PharmaceuticalsCelgeneGenentechValeant Pharmaceuticals InternationalSanofiGlaxoSmithKlinePfizerKyowa Hakko Kirin
KeywordsAdalimumabPlaque psoriasisPsoriasisTerm (time)MedicineInternal medicineMatching (statistics)DermatologyPathologyDiseasePhysics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Deucravacitinib, an oral tyrosine kinase 2 (TYK2) inhibitor, is approved in the United States to treat adults with moderate-to-severe plaque psoriasis (PsO). This study compared the long-term efficacies of deucravacitinib and adalimumab using results from long-term extension (LTE) trials. Open-label LTE trials were identified for an indirect treatment comparison (deucravacitinib: POETYK PSO-LTE [NCT04036435]; adalimumab: REVEAL extension [NCT00195676]). To ensure study design comparability, patients initially randomized to placebo and switched to deucravacitinib or adalimumab after week 16 were compared. The primary outcome was a ≥ 75% reduction in Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score (PASI 75) at week 112 postrandomization. Secondary outcomes were PASI 75 at week 52 and a ≥ 90% reduction in PASI score (PASI 90) at weeks 52 and 112. Missing PASI data were imputed. A matching-adjusted indirect comparison was conducted; individual patient-level data from POETYK PSO-LTE were reweighted to balance baseline characteristics with those from the REVEAL extension. Before reweighting, on average, patients in the POETYK PSO-LTE (N = 329) versus the REVEAL (N = 345) extension were older, had a lower body weight, received more prior systemic treatments, and had higher baseline PASI scores and week 16 placebo PASI 75 and PASI 90 response rates. Following reweighting, adjusted week 112 PASI 75 response rates were significantly higher for deucravacitinib versus adalimumab (67.2% vs. 54.0%; mean difference [95% CI], 13.2 [4.0–22.5] percentage points). Deucravacitinib had a numerically higher adjusted week 112 PASI 90 response rate (41.3% vs. 34.0%; mean difference [95% CI], 7.3 [− 2.0 to 16.7] percentage points). The treatments had similar week 52 adjusted PASI 75 and PASI 90 response rates. In this interim analysis, adults with moderate to severe PsO had higher long-term response rates at 2 years when treated with deucravacitinib versus adalimumab. Deucravacitinib response rates remained stable whereas adalimumab response rates declined in year 2. Plaque psoriasis is an inflammatory disease that causes red, itchy, dry patches (called plaques) on the skin. The disease cannot be cured, but the symptoms can be treated. Deucravacitinib and adalimumab are two treatments approved for use in adults with moderate to severe plaque psoriasis; deucravacitinib is an oral medication and adalimumab is injected with a needle under the skin. Each treatment has proven its efficacy compared with placebo (a pill or injection with no active effect) in separate clinical trials, but because no two clinical trials are exactly alike, the results cannot be accurately compared. Matching-adjusted indirect comparison is a method used to compare the results of one clinical trial with those of another when a direct comparison is not possible; characteristics from the patients in one trial are made to match the patient population in the other trial, and the adjusted results are compared. We performed a matching-adjusted indirect comparison of an open-label extension trial of deucravacitinib with an open-label extension trial of adalimumab to study the long-term efficacy of each treatment. At 1 year of treatment, we observed that similar proportions of patients receiving each treatment achieved a 75% or 90% improvement from their baseline Psoriasis Area and Severity Index score—called PASI 75 or PASI 90, respectively. At 2 years of treatment, similar proportions achieved PASI 90, but the proportion of patients receiving deucravacitinib who achieved PASI 75 was greater than that for patients receiving adalimumab.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.010
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.017
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.010
Threshold uncertainty score0.052

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0100.017
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.001
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0030.008
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0010.001
Research integrity0.0020.002
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0070.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.051
GPT teacher head0.304
Teacher spread0.253 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations17
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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