PREDICTION PERFORMANCE OF AIRPORT TRAFFIC USING BILSTM AND CNN-BI-LSTM MODELS
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
The COVID-19 pandemic has had a significant and enduring impact on the aviation industry, necessitating the accurate prediction of airport traffic. This study compares the predictive accuracy of biLSTM (Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory) and CNN-biLSTM (Convolutional Neural Network-Bidirectional Long Short-Term Memory) models using various optimization techniques such as RMSProp, Stochastic Gradient Descent (SGD), Adam, Nadam, and Adamax. The evaluation is based on Mean Absolute Error (MAE) and Mean Absolute Percentage Error (MAPE) indices. In the United States, the biLSTM model utilizing the Nadam optimizer achieved an MAPE score of 9.76%. On the other hand, the CNN-biLSTM model utilizing the Nadam optimizer demonstrated a slightly improved MAPE score of 9.62%. For Australia, the biLSTM model using the Nadam optimizer obtained an MAPE score of 31.52%. However, the CNN-biLSTM model employing the RMSprop optimizer had a marginally higher MAPE score of 33.33%. In Chile, the biLSTM model using the Adam optimizer obtained an MAPE score of 44.04%. Conversely, the CNN-biLSTM model using the RMSprop optimizer had a slightly higher MAPE score of 44.09%. Lastly, in Canada, the biLSTM model using the Nadam optimizer achieved a comparatively low MAPE score of 14.99%. Similarly, the CNN-biLSTM model utilizing the Adam optimizer demonstrated a slightly better MAPE score of 14.75%. These results highlight that the choice of optimization technique, model architecture, and balanced dataset can significantly influence the prediction accuracy of airport traffic.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it