Accessory genes define species-specific pathways to antibiotic resistance
Bibliographic record
Abstract
ABSTRACT Background The rise of antimicrobial resistance (AMR) is a growing concern globally and a deeper understanding of AMR gene carriage vs usage is vital for future responses to reduce the spread of AMR. Identification of AMR phenotype by laboratory-based assays are often hindered by difficulties in establishing cultures. This issue could be resolved by rapid computational assessment of an organism’s genome, however, AMR gene finder tools are not intended to infer AMR phenotype which is likely to be a product of multiple gene interactions. Methods To understand the importance of multi-gene interactions to the relationship between AMR genotype and AMR phenotype, we applied machine learning approaches to 16,950 genomes from microbial isolates representing 28 different genera with 1.2 million corresponding laboratory-determined MICs for 23 different antibiotics. We then elucidated the genomic paths to phenotypic antimicrobial resistance with the aim of allowing for the development of rapid determination of AMR phenotype from genomes or even whole microbiomes. Results The application of machine learning models resulted in a >1.5-fold increase in average prediction accuracy of AMR phenotype across the 23 antibiotic models. Interpretation of these models revealed 528 distinct genomic pathways to phenotypic resistance, many of which were species-specific and involved genes which have not previously been associated with AMR phenotype. This is the first study to demonstrate the utility of machine learning models in the prediction of AMR phenotype for a wide range of clinically relevant organisms and antibiotics. This could be applied as a rapid and affordable alternative to culture-based techniques, estimating taxonomy in addition to AMR phenotype, and providing real-time monitoring of multi-drug resistant pathogens. Availability and implementation Contact ldillon05@qub.ac.uk View supplementary information at this link https://osf.io/cj4bq/?view_only=c0ee87b7609543b688953089be4c376f See Code Availability for scripts used.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.002 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".