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Record W4386000664 · doi:10.31219/osf.io/cf7ba

Within-session chasing of losses and wins in an online eCasino

2023· preprint· en· W4386000664 on OpenAlexafffund
Ke Zhang, Jason D. Rights, Xiaolei Deng, Tilman Lesch, Luke Clark

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldPsychology
TopicGambling Behavior and Treatments
Canadian institutionsUniversity of British Columbia
FundersGambleAwareGambling Research Exchange Ontario
KeywordsSession (web analytics)RoulettePsychologyProduct (mathematics)Game of chanceFunction (biology)AdvertisingStatisticsBusinessMathematics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Chasing refers to the escalation of betting behaviour. It is conventionally seen when losing (loss chasing) but can also be seen after wins. Diagnostic and screening items for gambling problems describe chasing as returning ‘another day’ to gamble, i.e. between-session chasing. However, gamblers may also chase outcomes within sessions, and this may be particularly relevant in the online gambling environment. The current study focused on two expressions of within-session chasing: i) increasing the bet amount, or ii) a reduced probability of quitting the session, as a function of prior losses or wins. These expressions were examined across five categories of online gambling products: slot machines, probability games, blackjack, video poker, and roulette. For losses, gamblers tended to bet more, and played longer sessions, after immediate losses, but they reduced their bet and played shorter sessions when losing cumulatively. The reversed patterns in the cumulative model may be due to financial constraints on the gambler. For wins, gamblers played shorter sessions as a function of both immediate and cumulative wins, but they also increased the bet amount when winning. Chasing patterns were fairly similar across the different product categories, and we saw limited evidence for our hypothesis that chasing is greatest for online slot machines as an established high-risk category. Overall, chasing was seen to be a multi-faceted construct, varying across these two behavioural expressions, by the immediate or cumulative timeframe of prior outcomes, and by game type.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.006
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.005
Threshold uncertainty score0.017

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.006
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0010.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0050.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.376
GPT teacher head0.478
Teacher spread0.103 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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