Special issue in honour of Nancy Reid: Guest Editors' introduction
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We are delighted to present a special issue of The Canadian Journal of Statistics (CJS) in honour of Professor Nancy Reid.The articles in this collection have been contributed by a group of participants who attended a workshop entitled "Statistics at its Best" in Toronto on 5 May 2022.The workshop was organized by the Department of Statistical Sciences at the University of Toronto to celebrate Professor Reid's 70th birthday.It highlighted her remarkable contributions to Statistical Science and her dedication to the profession, exemplified in research, leadership, service and education of the next generation of statisticians.Professor Reid's impactful career has played a crucial role in fostering the growth of the Canadian statistical community.This workshop was part of a series of celebratory activities coordinated by the Statistical Society of Canada, marking the 50th anniversary of the statistical community in this country.This collection of articles encompasses a wide range of topics.First, the engaging dialogue A conversation with Nancy Reid by Craiu and Yi sheds light on Professor Reid's intellectual journey and perspectives on statistical science and data science.In The inducement of population sparsity, Battey presents the pioneering work on parameter orthogonalization by Cox and Reid as an inducement of abstract population-level sparsity.The article focuses on three important examples related to sparsity-inducing parameterizations or data transformations: covariance models, nuisance parameter elimination and high-dimensional regression.Strategies for inducing sparsity vary depending on the context and may involve solving partial differential equations or specifying parameterized paths.Battey concludes by presenting some open problems.McCullagh then highlights, in A tale of two variances, the ambiguity and potential misinterpretation of the standard repeated-sampling concept of the variance in a finite-dimensional parametric model.He presents three operational interpretations, all numerically distinct and compatible with repeated sampling from a fixed parameter population.These interpretations help resolve contradictions between Fisherian variance and inverse-information variance.We next turn to hypothesis testing for parameters on the boundary of their domain.In Improved inference for a boundary parameter, Elkantassi, Bellio, Brazzale and Davison review theoretical work on the problem, including hard and soft boundaries, and iceberg estimators.They highlight the significant underestimation of the probability due to the limiting results, propose remedies based on the normal approximation for the profile score function, and outline the success of higher order approximations.Using these approaches, the authors develop an accurate test to assess the need for a spline component in a linear mixed model.In Sparse estimation within Pearson's system, with an application to financial market risk, Carey, Genest and Ramsay tackle the challenging task of estimating a density within Pearson's system, a class of models encompassing many classical univariate distributions.The authors propose an effective method by combining penalized regression and profiled estimation techniques.Through simulations and an application using S&P 500 data, they demonstrate that the method improves market risk assessment substantially, outperforming the value-at-risk and expected shortfall estimates currently used by financial institutions and regulators.Urban, Bong, Orellana and Kass explore Oscillating neural circuits: Phase, amplitude, and the complex normal distribution.They consider multiple oscillating time series in the frequency domain and discuss the complex-valued correlation, its similarities to real-valued Pearson
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.009 | 0.045 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.004 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.004 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.003 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.010 | 0.004 |
| Open science | 0.004 | 0.004 |
| Research integrity | 0.013 | 0.015 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.044 | 0.038 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".