Boundary-adaptive kernel density estimation: the case of (near) uniform density
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Bibliographic record
Abstract
We consider nonparametric kernel estimation of density functions in the bounded-support setting having known support [a,b] using a boundary-adaptive kernel function and data-driven bandwidth selection, where a and b are finite and known prior to estimation. We observe, theoretically and in finite sample settings, that when bounds are known a priori this kernel approach is capable of outperforming even correctly specified parametric models, in the case of the uniform distribution. We demonstrate that this result has implications for modelling a range of densities other than the uniform case. Furthermore, when bounds [a,b] are unknown and the empirical support (i.e. [min(xi),max(xi)]) is used in their place, similar behaviour surfaces.
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Full frame distilled prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.
Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.003 | 0.028 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Research integrity | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it