Ultrasound and clinicopathological characteristics-based model for prediction of pathologic response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy in HER2-positive breast cancer: a case–control study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
BACKGROUND: The objective of this study was to develop a model combining ultrasound (US) and clinicopathological characteristics to predict the pathologic response to neoadjuvant chemotherapy (NACT) in human epidermal growth factor receptor 2 (HER2)-positive breast cancer. MATERIALS AND METHODS: This is a retrospective study that included 248 patients with HER2-positive breast cancer who underwent NACT from March 2018 to March 2022. US and clinicopathological characteristics were collected from all patients in this study, and characteristics obtained using univariate analysis at p < 0.1 were subjected to multivariate analysis and then the conventional US and clinicopathological characteristics independently associated with pathologic complete response (pCR) from the analysis were used to develop US models, clinicopathological models, and their combined models by the area under the receiver operating characteristic (ROC) curve (AUC), accuracy, sensitivity, and specificity to assess their predictive efficacy. RESULTS: The combined model had an AUC of 0.808, a sensitivity of 88.72%, a specificity of 60.87%, and an accuracy of 75.81% in predicting pCR of HER2-positive breast cancer after NACT, which was significantly better than the clinicopathological model (AUC = 0.656) and the US model (AUC = 0.769). In addition, six characteristics were screened as independent predictors, namely the Clinical T stage, Clinical N stage, PR status, posterior acoustic, margin, and calcification. CONCLUSION: The conventional US combined with clinicopathological characteristics to construct a combined model has a good diagnostic effect in predicting pCR in HER2-positive breast cancer and is expected to be a useful tool to assist clinicians in effectively determining the efficacy of NACT in HER2-positive breast cancer patients.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.010 | 0.012 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".