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Structured landscapes promote persistence by favouring prudent predators

2023· preprint· en· W4386219904 on OpenAlexafffund
E. Green, Hanna Jackson, Philip B. Greenspoon, Leithen K. M’Gonigle

Bibliographic record

Venuenot available
Typepreprint
Languageen
FieldSocial Sciences
TopicEvolutionary Game Theory and Cooperation
Canadian institutionsSimon Fraser University
FundersNatural Sciences and Engineering Research Council of CanadaUniversity of Otago
KeywordsPredationPredatorExtinction (optical mineralogy)Persistence (discontinuity)EcologyPopulationExploitBiologyGeographyComputer scienceDemographyEngineering

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

Evolution can lead to unexpected results. One such case is adaptive decline where, for example, a predator evolves to over-exploit its prey, resulting in population decline and possibly extinction. Using simulation models we explore how the tendency for predators to evolve over-exploitation of prey in simple, well-mixed populations changes as more landscape structure is added. We find that as the landscape becomes more structured, either through increasing the number of interconnected patches or decreasing the connectivity between existing patches, the amount of adaptive decline seen in the predator population decreases. This means that as the landscape becomes more complex, predator populations do not decline as much while the rate of predation evolves. This is analogous the evolution of virulence and cooperation, where spatial structure facilitates lower virulence and higher cooperation, respectively.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.004
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.003
Threshold uncertainty score0.010

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.004
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.000
Science and technology studies0.0010.001
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0010.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.034
GPT teacher head0.294
Teacher spread0.260 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes2
Has abstractyes

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