Doorrekening effecten van btw-verhoging op sierteeltproducten in Nederland en EU : update situatie 2023
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Ornamental horticultural products are taxed at a reduced VAT rate in the Netherlands (9% rather than 21%) as well as in 14 other EU countries. Increasing VAT would have a negative impact on turnover and employment in the supply chain. These calculations show that a VAT increase in the Netherlands would lead to a loss of around €200 million in turnover in the ornamentals sector at wholesale prices (-1.6%). If VAT were to be increased in other EU countries too, this would have a particularly significant impact on the Netherlands’ exports and thus on primary production. In this scenario, the drop in turnover for the ornamentals sector (at wholesale prices) would be €930 million (-7%). The expected impact on the government’s VAT revenue would be partly offset by fewer flowers and plants being bought, and in the shorter term by a decline in tax receipts and social insurance premiums from businesses and employees, along with an increase in unemployment benefits being paid out.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.007 | 0.006 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.004 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.005 | 0.002 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.013 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".