Causal Associations Between Gut Microbiota and Psoriasis: A Mendelian Randomization Study
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Previous studies have proposed a possible gut–skin axis, and linked gut microbiota to psoriasis risks. However, there is heterogeneity in existing evidence. Observational research is prone to bias, and it is hard to determine causality. Therefore, this study aims to evaluate possible causal associations between gut microbiota (GM) and psoriasis. With published large-scale GWAS (genome-wide association study) summary datasets, two-sample Mendelian randomization (MR) was performed to sort out possible causal roles of GM in psoriasis and arthropathic psoriasis (PsA). The inverse variance weighted (IVW) method was taken as the primary evaluation of causal association. As complements to the IVW method, we also applied MR-Egger, weighted median. Sensitivity analyses were conducted using Cochrane’s Q test, MR-Egger intercept test, MR-PRESSO (Mendelian Randomization Pleiotropy RESidual Sum and Outlier) global test, and leave-one-out analysis. By primary IVW analysis, we identified nominal protective roles of Bacteroidetes (odds ratio, OR 0.81, P = 0.033) and Prevotella9 (OR 0.87, P = 0.045) in psoriasis risks. Bacteroidia (OR 0.65, P = 0.03), Bacteroidales (OR 0.65, P = 0.03), and Ruminococcaceae UCG002 (OR 0.81, P = 0.038) are nominally associated with lower risks for PsA. On the other hand, Pasteurellales (OR 1.22, P = 0.033), Pasteurellaceae (OR 1.22, P = 0.033), Blautia (OR 1.46, P = 0.014), Methanobrevibacter (OR 1.27, P = 0.026), and Eubacterium fissicatena group (OR 1.21, P = 0.028) are nominal risk factors for PsA. Additionally, E. fissicatena group is a possible risk factor for psoriasis (OR 1.22, P = 0.00018). After false discovery rate (FDR) correction, E. fissicatena group remains a risk factor for psoriasis ( P FDR = 0.03798). We comprehensively evaluated possible causal associations of GM with psoriasis and arthropathic psoriasis, and identified several nominal associations. E. fissicatena group remains a risk factor for psoriasis after FDR correction. Our results offer promising therapeutic targets for psoriasis clinical management.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.065 | 0.124 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.003 | 0.006 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.002 | 0.002 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.008 | 0.001 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".