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Record W4386408310 · doi:10.1093/ia/iiad237

How to survive a crisis

2023· article· en· W4386408310 on OpenAlex

Why this work is in the frame

A frame that forgets how it found something cannot be audited. These are the routes that admitted this work.

affAt least one author lists a Canadian institution in the pinned OpenAlex snapshot.

Bibliographic record

VenueInternational Affairs · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicRegional resilience and development
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

How to survive a crisis is a remarkable book: beautifully written and thoughtfully designed, it mixes conceptual clarity and policy prescription with illuminating case-studies in a manner that is both unusual and fascinating. The contributors to this forum all agree that it is a book of immense importance; one that occupies an intriguing space at the crossroads of intelligence, security, politics, psychology and business, together with arresting personal experiences of some of the world's most frightening crises. The book exemplifies the best that policy studies have to offer. Patiently, and often narrating in the first person, Omand demonstrates how recent events are a vital sandpit from which we can—and must—learn. Sir David Omand is perfectly positioned to distil wisdom from these episodes. Omand joined the UK's Government Communications Headquarters (GCHQ) in 1969 and, after some time at the Ministry of Defence, he was instrumental in successfully reshaping GCHQ as its director in the mid-1990s. He then travelled—via the Home Office—to become the first Permanent Secretary for Intelligence and Security at the Cabinet Office in 2002, not long after the 9/11 attacks. Omand technically ‘retired’ in 2005, but in fact has since carried out numerous special roles from mysterious basement rooms under Downing Street. I remember asking a notably tight-lipped civil servant how the latest David Omand project was going? He simply grinned and replied, ‘Batman returns’.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

Full frame distilled prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. Learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and 10,348 direct Gemma labels. Candidate is the union of thresholded teacher heads; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels or direct frontier model labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.000
Version: codex-gemma-dda1882f352aValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesInsufficient payload (model declined to judge)
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Not applicable · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.660
Threshold uncertainty score0.993

Codex and Gemma teacher scores by category

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0000.000
Science and technology studies0.0000.000
Scholarly communication0.0000.000
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0000.008

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.042
GPT teacher head0.248
Teacher spread0.206 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it