Biliary disease progression in childhood onset autoimmune liver disease: A 30-year follow-up into adulthood
Bibliographic record
Abstract
Background & Aims: Long-term follow-up studies of paediatric onset autoimmune liver disease (AILD) are invaluable in helping better understand the clinical course of disease. In day-to-day practice clinicians struggle with disease definitions whilst patients and parents lack clear prognostic information. Methods: The clinical progression of 159 patients with childhood onset AILD between June 1990 and December 2013 was reviewed, capturing data up to adulthood (ending May 2021). Results: Presentation with autoimmune hepatitis (AIH) was dominant (n = 119); biliary presentations accounted for 25%. During follow up, biliary disease progression confirmed by cholangiography and/or liver histology was observed frequently: 19.8% (20/101) patients with childhood onset AIH type 1 (AIH-1) developed biliary features by adulthood and of these 50% phenotypically transitioned to primary sclerosing cholangitis (PSC); the remaining transitioned to an overlap disease phenotype. No patients with AIH type 2 developed biliary progression. Two-thirds of patients with overlap features (14/21) in childhood had phenotypically progressed to PSC by adulthood. Approximately 43% (6/14) of AIH-1 patients requiring a liver transplant in adulthood had explant evidence of biliary disease compared with 11% (1/9) in childhood, whereas 35.7% (5/14) of patients had histology diagnostic of PSC in their explant liver and 7.1% (1/14) had overlap features. All patients with biliary phenotypes (PSC, autoimmune sclerosing cholangitis, overlap) who required a transplant (n = 18) were found to have explant histology consistent with PSC. Twelve of 14 patients with biliary progression developed ulcerative colitis during follow-up with 92% progressing to PSC. Conclusions: Three decades of follow-up demonstrated how children presenting with AILD had a significant risk of clinical transformation to PSC. Biliary progression was significantly associated with the development of inflammatory bowel disease. Impact and implications: Childhood onset autoimmune liver disease remains very impactful for patients and families. Disease nomenclature can however be confusing. Long-term follow up studies as children become adults is important to help understand how and why disease behaves over time. Understanding more about the long-term course of childhood autoimmune liver disease will help patients, families and doctors striving to improve care and reduce poor clinical outcomes. We followed over 150 patients with childhood onset autoimmune liver diseases into adulthood. We found that amongst patients with classical autoimmune hepatitis, 1 in 5 developed biliary disease over time, mostly consisting of primary sclerosing cholangitis. This was associated with developing inflammatory bowel disease. Our study design was retrospective and has relevant limitations. Defining phenotypes of autoimmune liver diseases is difficult and there is insufficient consensus, especially between adult and childhood physicians. Our data confirms the critical importance of careful long-term follow-up of patients, including safe transition to adult care, as well as robustly demonstrates, using real-world data, how disease nature can change over time. Our study affirms the need for investment in prospective cohort studies.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.001 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.002 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.000 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".