Context-Aware Pedestrian Trajectory Prediction with Multimodal Transformer
Bibliographic record
Abstract
We propose a novel solution for predicting future trajectories of pedestrians. Our method uses a multimodal encoder-decoder transformer architecture, which takes as input both pedestrian locations and ego-vehicle speeds. Notably, our decoder predicts the entire future trajectory in a single-pass and does not perform one-step-ahead prediction, which makes the method effective for embedded edge deployment. We perform detailed experiments and evaluate our method on two popular datasets, PIE and JAAD. Quantitative results demonstrate the superiority of our proposed model over the current state-of-the-art, which consistently achieves the lowest error for 3 time horizons of 0.5, 1.0 and 1.5 seconds. Moreover, the proposed method is significantly faster than the state-of-the-art for the two datasets of PIE and JAAD. Lastly, ablation experiments demonstrate the impact of the key multimodal configuration of our method.
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How this classification was reachedexpand
Full frame machine prediction
Teacher imitationNot calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.
Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)
| Category | Codex | Gemma |
|---|---|---|
| Metaresearch | 0.000 | 0.002 |
| Meta-epidemiology (narrow) | 0.001 | 0.000 |
| Meta-epidemiology (broad) | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Bibliometrics | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Science and technology studies | 0.000 | 0.000 |
| Scholarly communication | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Open science | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Research integrity | 0.001 | 0.001 |
| Insufficient payload (model declined to judge) | 0.003 | 0.002 |
Machine scores (provisional)
The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.
Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.
score_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from itClassification
machine, unvalidatedMachine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.
How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".