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Elements Affect Japan GDP Growth

2023· article· en· W4386689903 on OpenAlexaff
Jiarui Guo

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvances in Economics Management and Political Sciences · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldEconomics, Econometrics and Finance
TopicMonetary Policy and Economic Impact
Canadian institutionsThe Scarborough HospitalUniversity of Toronto
Fundersnot available
KeywordsEconomicsConsumption (sociology)Real gross domestic productHodrick–Prescott filterGross private domestic investmentFinancial crisisInvestment (military)Business cycleMonetary economicsGDP deflatorProduction (economics)EconomyMacroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

After a severe economic crisis, the Japanese economy entered a recessionary phase. Since the 1990 bubble economy, consumption, investment, and export became essential factors to support Japan GDP growth. This paper is supported by data collected by the International Financial Statistics (the base year is the 2015 Japanese Yen). Therefore, this paper also applies the Hodrick-Prescott filter to extract the cyclical rate of change of the variables and analyze the de-trend correlation of each factor with GDP. This method estimates the best-fitting directional line from a frequently fluctuating data set. According to the analysis, Japan's GDP remained generally unchanged with a slight increase after the bubble crisis, which again proved the country's economic stagnation. However, Japan's exports grew significantly this year, effectively giving a short-term increase in GDP. In addition, consumption has the least fluctuation with GDP, and focusing on the development of consumption can bring stable long-term growth to GDP. In summary, this paper analyzes and argues that factors of production such as consumption and exports may get Japan out of this predicament.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.000
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.001
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Observational · Consensus signal: Observational
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: Empirical
Teacher disagreement score0.015
Threshold uncertainty score0.029

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0000.001
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0000.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0010.002
Science and technology studies0.0010.000
Scholarly communication0.0020.001
Open science0.0000.001
Research integrity0.0000.000
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0030.001

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.047
GPT teacher head0.273
Teacher spread0.226 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designObservational
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations0
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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