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Global Energy Demand and Forecasting: A Managerial Economics Perspective

2023· article· en· W4386690214 on OpenAlexaff
Hongming Zhang

Bibliographic record

VenueAdvances in Economics Management and Political Sciences · 2023
Typearticle
Languageen
FieldBusiness, Management and Accounting
TopicManagement, Economics, and Public Policy
Canadian institutionsUniversity of Ottawa
Fundersnot available
KeywordsGeopoliticsUkrainianSanctionsEnergy securityEnergy economicsEconomicsEconomic sanctionsAction (physics)PoliticsPopulationOrder (exchange)International relationsPolitical scienceEconomyEconomic systemFinanceSociologyEngineeringMicroeconomics

Abstract

fetched live from OpenAlex

A military war between Russia and Ukraine resulted from unusual military action by Russia against Ukraine. Comprehensive sanctions were imposed against Russia in the areas of energy, finance, the economy, and other areas by European and American nations. The Russian-Ukrainian wars, which have been the most significant security event in recent international politics, will surely induce changes and adjustments to European geopolitics, political order, the international rule system, as well as economic ties. This paper focuses on the study of Global energy demand and forecasting from the perspective of global management economics. This paper will show the analysis of energy demand in the form of charts and use the Reference method and Time series analysis respectively to forecast the future energy. However, human demand for energy will double in the future as population growth and other factors change.

Fetched live from OpenAlex and de-inverted. Abstracts are not stored in this database: the inverted indexes are 8.6 GB of the frame’s 9.3 GB of text, and the host has 13 GB free.

How this classification was reachedexpand

Full frame machine prediction

Teacher imitation

Not calibrated prevalence, not ground truth. Human validation pending. The Gemma side is a direct model label for every work in the frame, read from the title-only record. The Codex side is a classifier learned from the 10,348 direct Codex labels and calibrated to design-weighted sample rates; fields without enough sample support carry no Codex call. Candidate is the union of the two sides; consensus is their intersection. These outputs are machine_predicted_unvalidated and are not human labels.

metaresearch head score (Codex)0.002
metaresearch head score (Gemma)0.003
Version: metacan-v3-hybrid-931329e0061cValidation status: machine_predicted_unvalidated
Candidate categoriesnone
Consensus categoriesnone
DomainCandidate signal: none · Consensus signal: none
Study designCandidate signal: Simulation or modeling · Consensus signal: none
GenreCandidate signal: Empirical · Consensus signal: none
Teacher disagreement score0.007
Threshold uncertainty score0.019

Distilled classifier scores by category (both heads)

CategoryCodexGemma
Metaresearch0.0020.003
Meta-epidemiology (narrow)0.0010.000
Meta-epidemiology (broad)0.0000.000
Bibliometrics0.0020.002
Science and technology studies0.0000.002
Scholarly communication0.0040.003
Open science0.0000.000
Research integrity0.0020.001
Insufficient payload (model declined to judge)0.0020.000

Machine scores (provisional)

The two teacher heads of the student model, read on this work. A score orders the frame for review; it never asserts a category, and the validation status ships verbatim with every row.

Baseline scores from an immature model (maturity gate not passed, 7 training rounds). Scores rank; they never assert a category.

Opus teacher head0.021
GPT teacher head0.259
Teacher spread0.238 · how far apart the two teachers sit on this one work
Validation statusscore_only:v0-immature-baseline · verbatim from the scoring run: score_only means the number may rank works, and no category label ships from it

Classification

machine, unvalidated

Machine predicted; a candidate call from one source (direct Gemma or distilled Codex), not a consensus.

The models applied no category: nothing in the taxonomy fit this work.
Study designSimulation or modeling
Domainnot available
GenreEmpirical

How this classification was reached, model by model and score by score, is at the end of the page under "How this classification was reached".

Quick stats

Citations1
Published2023
Admission routes1
Has abstractyes

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